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KEYS: Bull Flag detected on 9 Apr 2026

All prices, scores, and news on this page reflect data available before market open on 9 Apr 2026.

Overall Score

76 of 100

Good

Win Probability

62%

Moderate

Reward / Risk

0.6 : 1

$3.53 reward $-6.30 risk

Summary Context Technical Indicators

Current Setup

KEYS is forming a bull flag after a powerful 49% gain over three months, with the stock at $318.33 (near the 52-week high, only down -0.99%) and having reported a 23% revenue increase for Q1 2026. The pattern structure scores 11.88/15, breakout score is 13.0/13 (optimal), and volume is adequate at 9.6/12 with current volume at 1.48M vs. 20-day average of 1.38M. Key resistance sits at $321.51; support at $264.70. The overall score of 76.48 and win probability of 61.81% indicate a solid intermediate-term setup in a bullish regime.

Stock Context

Keysight reported Q1 2026 revenue of $1.6 billion (up 23% YoY) and net income of $376 million with EPS of $2.17 (up 19%). The Communications Solutions Group grew 27% driven by commercial communications and aerospace/defense, while the Electronic Industrial Solutions Group reported 15% growth across automotive, semiconductors, and general electronics. Management guided Q2 2026 revenue to $1.69-1.71B, representing ~30% YoY growth. UBS raised its target to $340 with a Buy rating; Bank of America upgraded to Buy at $340; Citigroup and JPMorgan raised targets to $320 and $300. Institutional ownership stands at 84.58%, though insider selling by the CEO and CFO has been noted.

What to Expect

For Q2 2026, the company guides EPS of $2.27-2.33. A successful breakout above $321.51 resistance (currently 1% away) would target $334.25 based on the measured move. Volume confirmation would require sustained daily volumes above 1.5M shares. The 61.81% win probability suggests better-than-average odds of a bullish resolution. Invalidation occurs on a close below the key support level of $264.70, which would represent a break of the flag's lower bound. Early momentum signals strong conviction into the move.

Risk Factors

GuruFocus has flagged 7 warning signs with KEYS. RSI is at 67.7—approaching overbought territory (>70)—signaling potential near-term pullback risk. Beta of 1.53 indicates elevated volatility relative to the broad market; a 4.41% ATR means sharp intraday swings are normal. Operating margin has been in 5-year decline averaging -3.7% per year, and insider selling activity includes 10 transactions over three months. Tariff risks under emergency powers could disrupt supply chains and alter the company's revenue profile. Next earnings for Q2 is expected mid-May 2026; execution risk if guidance momentum slows. Analyst target dispersion is wide ($220-$340); consensus may compress sharply on any miss.

Market & Sector Regime

Market

Bullish 0.58

-1.0 0 +1.0

Industrials Sector

Bullish 0.86

-1.0 0 +1.0

Overall Score

35 of 40

Strong

Pattern Quality

18 of 20

Exceptional

Setup

11 of 20

Fair

R/R

13 of 18

Good

Context

Pattern Quality Score

12 of 15

Strong

Structure

13 of 13

Exceptional

Breakout

10 of 12

Strong

Volume

Recent Performance

+12.7%

+6.6%

+12.9%

+49.0%

Momentum & Trend

RSI (14)

67.7

Neutral

MACD Histogram

+0.92

Bullish

Bollinger Band Position

124.1%

Upper Band

Volatility & Risk

20-Day Volatility

0.60

Very High

ATR %

4.4%

Medium

Beta

1.53

High Beta

Volume Analysis

Volume Ratio

1.07x

Average

20-Day Avg Vol

1.4M

shares / day

Current Volume

1.5M

shares traded

Price Levels

Target

$334.25

52W High

$321.51

Resistance

$321.51

Current

$318.33

Stop Loss

$280.13

Support

$264.70

52W Low

$121.43

Disclaimer: This analysis is algorithmically generated for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past pattern performance does not guarantee future results. Win probabilities are based on historical data across 370,000+ observations. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor. AI-assisted contextual analysis by Claude (Anthropic). Indicators reflect values at time of detection.