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PSNY FLY FROG MOVE REPX TBN PI RDDT MEI DAL

REPX: Bull Flag detected on 8 Apr 2026

All prices, scores, and news on this page reflect data available before market open on 8 Apr 2026.

Overall Score

76 of 100

Good

Win Probability

61%

Moderate

Reward / Risk

0.7 : 1

$0.52 reward $-0.71 risk

Summary Context Technical Indicators

Current Setup

REPX is forming a bull flag pattern at $40.00 with excellent technical structure. The pattern exhibits a breakout score of 13.0 (near maximum), strong volume momentum (ratio of 1.83x average, 833,513 shares traded), and solid structure score of 10.0. Price has rallied 21.18% over one month and 58.48% in three months, positioning at the 52-week high. The flag base formed around $37–$40 with recent consolidation, presenting a textbook setup for continuation. A three-white-soldiers pattern preceded this (detected April 2nd, pattern strength: moderate), confirming accumulation.

Stock Context

According to 3 analysts, REPX has a Strong Buy consensus rating as of Mar 31, 2026, with an average REPX price target of $45.00, with the highest forecast at $52.00 and the lowest at $36.00. Riley's Q4 2025 oil production was 5% above midpoint guidance and the company expects 12% oil production growth in 2026. Riley's midstream divestiture improved its balance sheet and allowed it to put $80 million in 2026 midstream capex towards upstream development instead. Earnings date is estimated for May 6, 2026. Riley announced a share repurchase program of up to $100 million of common stock over 24 months. The combination of production growth, balance sheet improvement, and analyst conviction is driving the rally into this flag pattern.

What to Expect

A successful breakout above $40.00 resistance would target the measured move of $42.00 (conservative target provided), with potential to extend toward analyst consensus of $45.00. Volume confirmation is critical—the pattern must break with volume at or above the 1.83x average ratio to validate continuation. Invalidation occurs at support of $34.18, representing approximately 14.5% downside risk. The 61.39% win probability suggests reasonable odds for directional success, though the RSI of 77.95 signals overbought conditions that warrant caution on aggressive continuation.

Risk Factors

RSI at 77.95 is deeply overbought, creating mean-reversion risk and vulnerability to profit-taking. Earnings date May 6, 2026 is only 28 days away—a catalyst that could gap the pattern lower if production or cash flow surprises disappoint. Beta of 1.19 indicates above-market volatility, amplifying downside swings. Challenges include lower-than-expected commodity prices, missed production targets, and regulatory uncertainties in New Mexico. Options positioning is meaningfully bearish with puts dominating calls. Volatility of 39.24% (20-day) is elevated, and ATR of 1.47 suggests daily swings of $1.47 could whipsaw flag holders. The 92.86% position near 52-week high leaves limited upside before hitting psychological resistance.

Market & Sector Regime

Market

Neutral 0.15

-1.0 0 +1.0

None Sector

Neutral 0.00

-1.0 0 +1.0

Other Patterns Detected Today

Three White Soldiers

3 days in pattern

Moderate 26.4

Overall Score

34 of 40

Strong

Pattern Quality

18 of 20

Exceptional

Setup

11 of 20

Fair

R/R

13 of 18

Good

Context

Pattern Quality Score

10 of 15

Moderate

Structure

13 of 13

Exceptional

Breakout

11 of 12

Exceptional

Volume

Recent Performance

+9.0%

+15.0%

+21.2%

+58.5%

Momentum & Trend

RSI (14)

78.0

Overbought

MACD Histogram

+0.10

Bullish

Bollinger Band Position

110.4%

Upper Band

Volatility & Risk

20-Day Volatility

0.39

High

ATR %

3.7%

Medium

Beta

1.19

Market

Volume Analysis

Volume Ratio

1.83x

Very High

20-Day Avg Vol

456K

shares / day

Current Volume

834K

shares traded

Price Levels

Target

$42.00

Resistance

$40.00

Current

$40.00

52W High

$40.00

Stop Loss

$35.74

Support

$34.18

52W Low

$20.74

Disclaimer: This analysis is algorithmically generated for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past pattern performance does not guarantee future results. Win probabilities are based on historical data across 370,000+ observations. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor. AI-assisted contextual analysis by Claude (Anthropic). Indicators reflect values at time of detection.