UI: Bull Flag detected on 9 Apr 2026
All prices, scores, and news on this page reflect data available before market open on .
Overall Score
80
of 100
Strong
Win Probability
63%
Moderate
Reward / Risk
0.6
: 1
$10.52 reward
$-17.65 risk
Current Setup
Ubiquiti has been upgraded to Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) on February 27, 2026, with shares rising on increased Wi-Fi 7 demand. The stock is forming a bull flag at $900.50, near its 52-week high ($914.36 resistance), with support at $720.09. Structure score of 11.88 and breakout score of 13.0 indicate a well-defined flag consolidation, though volume score of 10.8 suggests moderate volume confirmation. Overall pattern score of 79.68 reflects a high-quality setup with 62.55% win probability, supported by strong recent momentum: +13.95% (1-week), +19.67% (1-month), +58.28% (3-month).
Stock Context
Ubiquiti reported Q2 2026 earnings on February 6, 2026, posting EPS of $3.88, exceeding analyst expectations of $2.96 by 31%. Quarterly revenue surged from $599.9 million in Q2 2025 to $814.9 million in Q2 2026. Revenue growth is +35.8% quarter-over-quarter with operating margin of +35.9%. Tudor Investment Corp boosted its position by 2,268% during the third quarter with holdings worth $13.4 million. Weiss Ratings upgraded Ubiquiti from hold to buy on March 23rd. This strong earnings beat combined with institutional buying support the bullish momentum forming the flag pattern.
What to Expect
A successful breakout above $914.36 resistance would target $945.53 (conservative measured move), representing +5.0% upside from current price. Volume confirmation is needed—current relative volume of 1.52x is adequate but sustained volume above 1.5x on breakout would validate the setup. The pattern invalidates on close below support at $720.09, which represents a -20% downside risk. With 62.55% win probability, historical data shows this flag structure succeeds slightly better than coin-flip odds, though the tight risk-reward ratio (5% upside vs. 20% downside) requires strict position management.
Risk Factors
Scott+Scott Attorneys at Law is investigating potential breaches of fiduciary duties by Ubiquiti's leadership, which may impact shareholder value. Short interest stands at 553.8 thousand shares (13.1% of float), up 82.1% over 12 months, indicating bearish sentiment despite the rally. Legal and reputational issues combined with price trading above the $623.50 analyst target could challenge the premium earnings multiple. RSI at 67.95 approaches overbought conditions. Next earnings announcement is May 8, 2026—pattern faces binary risk from this upcoming catalyst. Beta of 1.63 indicates high volatility. ATR of 46.17 ($5.13%) suggests significant daily swings that could whipsaw flag consolidations.
Sources:
UI Stock Forecast 2026 - Ubiquiti Price Targets & Predictions
·
Ubiquiti Inc. (UI) Stock Price, News, Quote & History - Yahoo Finance
·
Ubiquiti Inc (UI) Stock Forecast: Analyst Ratings, Predictions & Price Target 2026
·
Ubiquiti (UI) Stock Price & Overview
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Ubiquiti Q2 2026 revenue up 35.8% to $814.9M | UI Stock News
·
Tudor Investment Corp ET AL Increases Stock Position in Ubiquiti Inc. $UI - Daily Political
·
Assessing Ubiquiti (UI) Valuation After Strong Q2 2026 Results And New Cash Dividend
·
Investor Relations | Ubiquiti Inc.
·
Ubiquiti Inc. (UI) Latest Stock News & Headlines - Yahoo Finance
·
UI Stock Price, News & Analysis | Ubiquiti
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Ubiquiti Inc (UI) Earnings: Latest Report, Earnings Call & Financials
·
Ubiquiti (UI) Earnings Date and Reports 2026 $UI
·
Ubiquiti (UI) Earnings Surge And 29.9% Margin Intensify Debate On Non Cash Profit Quality - Simply Wall St News
·
Quarterly Results | Ubiquiti Inc.
·
Ubiquiti Inc. Common Stock (UI) Earnings Report Dates & Earnings Forecasts | Nasdaq
·
Ubiquiti (UI) Reports Robust Earnings Growth in Recent Quarter
·
Ubiquiti (UI) Earnings Date & Report - Investing.com
·
Investor Relations | Ubiquiti Inc.
·
What date does Ubiquiti's (UI) report Earnings - Earnings Calendar & Announcement
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Ubiquiti (UI) Reports Robust Earnings Growth in Recent Quarter - Simply Wall St News
Market & Sector Regime
Market
Bullish
0.58
-1.0
0
+1.0
Technology Sector
Bullish
0.84
-1.0
0
+1.0
Overall Score
36
of 40
Pattern Quality
20
of 20
Setup
11
of 20
R/R
13
of 18
Context
Pattern Quality Score
12
of 15
Structure
13
of 13
Breakout
11
of 12
Volume
Recent Performance
Momentum & Trend
RSI (14)
68.0
Neutral
MACD Histogram
+4.10
Strong Bullish
Bollinger Band Position
112.9%
Upper Band
Volatility & Risk
20-Day Volatility
0.59
Very High
ATR %
5.1%
High
Beta
1.63
High Beta
Volume Analysis
Volume Ratio
1.52x
Very High
20-Day Avg Vol
89K
shares / day
Current Volume
135K
shares traded
Price Levels
Target
$945.53
52W High
$914.40
Resistance
$914.36
Current
$900.50
Stop Loss
$792.44
Support
$720.09
52W Low
$253.59
Disclaimer: This analysis is algorithmically generated for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past pattern performance does not guarantee future results. Win probabilities are based on historical data across 370,000+ observations. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor. AI-assisted contextual analysis by Claude (Anthropic). Indicators reflect values at time of detection.