Swing Trading Plan
Holding Period
2-7 trading days
Expected figures are probability-weighted from our historical pattern database; Trade R:R is measured from the entry, target and stop levels.
Current Setup
ACDC is forming a rounding bottom pattern that has developed over 83 days, currently trading at $6.63 with a structure score of 15.0 and breakout score of 10.4 (overall pattern quality 70.4). The setup shows a post-collapse recovery dynamic, with the stock rebounding 115% from its 52-week low of $3.08. Key resistance sits at $7.97, and volume has supported the move, though recent volume (1.56M shares) trails the 20-day average at 0.85x. RSI at 59.86 indicates moderate momentum without overbought conditions. The measured move target is $7.07, suggesting modest upside from current levels.
Stock Context
ProFrac operates in oilfield services equipment, benefiting from the energy sector's current bullish regime (score: 0.85). The 75% three-month gain reflects recovery in service sector demand alongside crude oil strength. However, the broader market regime remains bearish (score: -0.5), creating cross-currents. Recent market movements in oilfield services have been tied to activity levels tied to oil prices and completion services demand. The stock's 1.66 beta indicates elevated sensitivity to energy market swings and broader market volatility. The sector tailwind is supportive, but macro headwinds persist.
What to Expect
A successful breakout above $7.97 resistance would validate the rounding bottom and target the conservative measure of $7.07 (though price is already near this level). The pattern suggests continued pressure toward the resistance zone with a 63.62% historical win probability. Volume confirmation is critical—current volume at 0.85x average is soft, and a decisive breakout would require volume to expand above the 20-day average to confirm conviction. Invalidation occurs at $3.08 support; a close below this level would signal pattern failure and suggest the recovery structure has broken.
Risk Factors
High volatility (20-day: 94.25%) and elevated beta (1.66) mean sharp drawdowns are possible if oil prices or energy sector sentiment deteriorates. The weak secondary pattern detected (pattern_quality: 25.0) suggests fragile structure beneath current price. Volume trailing average by 15% raises concerns about conviction behind the move. A macro risk exists: if crude oil pulls back or broader market equities weaken further (already in bearish regime), the energy sector momentum could reverse quickly. Monitor upcoming weekly crude inventory data and API reports—negative surprises could trigger sharp reversals in ACDC given the sector leverage. No specific earnings date found in available data, but energy names remain sensitive to commodity price shocks.
How We Find and Score This Setup
We scan more than 6,000 NYSE and NASDAQ stocks every trading day and compare each detected pattern against a database of 370,000+ historical detections. Every setup is scored across three dimensions: Structure, Volume, and Breakout Readiness. Win probability is a calibrated estimate of how similar historical setups performed over the following 10 trading days. This is a swing trading tool built for multi-day holds. It is not built or tested for day trading.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ACDC a good swing trade?
ACDC scored 70 out of 98 on our rounding bottom scan, with a 64% historical win probability over a 2-7 trading days hold. Good setup based on our systematic scoring.
What is the entry, target, and stop loss for this setup?
The setup's reference price is $6.63, with a conservative target of $7.07 and a stop loss at $6.03.
What would invalidate this rounding bottom setup?
A close below the stop loss at $6.03 would invalidate the setup and suggest the pattern has failed.
How is the win probability calculated?
Win probability is a calibrated estimate of how similar historical rounding bottom setups performed over the following 10 trading days, drawn from a database of 370,000+ historical pattern detections across 6,000+ NYSE and NASDAQ stocks.
Market & Sector Regime
Market
Bearish
-0.50
-1.0
0
+1.0
Energy Sector
Bullish
0.85
-1.0
0
+1.0
Other Patterns Detected Today
Post Collapse Recovery
83 days in pattern
Weak
25.0