ADEA: Bull Flag detected on 17 Apr 2026
All prices, scores, and news on this page reflect data available before market open on .
Browse all Bull Flag detections →On 17 Apr 2026, our scan flagged ADEA as a bull flag setup scoring 84 out of 98 (Strong tier), with a 62% win probability based on our historical pattern database and a 0.6 to 1 reward to risk ratio. This is a swing trade setup: win probability reflects a 10 trading day hold, not an intraday move. At $27.89, the conservative target is $28.81 with a stop at $26.77.
Overall Score
84
of 98
Strong
Win Probability
62%
Moderate
Reward / Risk
0.6
: 1
$0.21 reward
$-0.36 risk
Swing Trading Plan
Entry
$27.89
Target
$28.81
Stop Loss
$26.77
Holding Period
Up to 10 trading days
Win Probability
62%
Current Setup
ADEA is forming a bull flag pattern with a high-quality structure score of 15.0 and solid breakout score of 13.0 as price pulls back to test resistance at $27.59 near the flagpole high. Current price at $27.89 sits 0.11% below 52-week highs, with volume declining to 90% of 20-day average—typical flag consolidation. RSI at 72.11 signals overbought conditions. The overall pattern scores 84 out of 98, with win probability of 62.41%, indicating technical setup quality but requiring confirmation above resistance for meaningful continuation.
Stock Context
Adeia will announce Q1 2026 financial results on May 4, 2026—catalyst arriving in 17 days that could trigger volatility around this flag. The company announced executive leadership changes on January 26, 2026, with Craig Mitchell rejoining as chief semiconductor officer to drive strategic growth. Adeia's patent portfolio of more than 13,750 worldwide assets underpins semiconductors and hybrid bonding architectures for Gen AI workloads. On April 1, 2026, Adeia filed patent infringement litigation against DISH Network Corporation, adding to existing litigation strength. 2025 revenue reached $443.39 million (up 17.91%) and earnings grew 71.88%. Four analysts rate ADEA as Strong Buy with a $31.0 target price target (23.65% upside).
What to Expect
A successful bull flag breakout above $27.59 resistance targets the measured move of $28.81 (conservative target)—roughly 3.3% above current price. Volume confirmation would require above-average volume thrust on breakout; current relative volume at 0.9 suggests tight consolidation. The pattern invalidates below key support at $26.42, a 5.2% risk below the flag consolidation zone. Win probability of 62.41% reflects solid technical structure but suggests about 2-in-5 odds of failure, typical for flag patterns. Beta of 1.36 indicates 36% more volatility than broad market.
Risk Factors
Pending DISH Network litigation involves five patents in media IP portfolio—litigation outcomes are unpredictable and timing uncertain. Q1 2026 earnings on May 4 at 5 p.m. ET falls just 17 days out, leaving limited runway before potential post-earnings volatility. RSI at 72.11 is deeply overbought (>70), signaling potential pullback risk and reduced upside buffer. Analyst views flag key risks: shrinking legacy licensing revenue and reliance on key partners create near-term revenue volatility, with rapid technology change threatening ability to sustain recurring growth. ATR at 3.66% suggests daily moves of $1.02 on typical days—wide swings increase breakout execution risk.
Sources:
Adeia to Release First Quarter 2026 Financial Results on May 4, 2026
·
Adeia Q1 2026 results, earnings call set for May 4 | ADEA Stock News
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News Releases | Adeia Inc.
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Adeia adds semiconductor, revenue and strategy chiefs | ADEA Stock News
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Investor Relations | Adeia Inc.
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Adeia Named a Top 100 Global Innovator for 2026 by LexisNexis
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Adeia Announces Patent Infringement Litigation Against DISH Network; Reiterates Full 2026 Outlook
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Adeia to Release Fourth Quarter 2025 Financial Results on February 23, 2026
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Adeia to Release Fourth Quarter 2025 Financial Results on February 23, 2026 | Adeia Inc.
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Adeia Expands Executive Leadership Team to Accelerate Growth and Advance Semiconductor Strategy
·
Adeia Inc. (ADEA) Stock Price, News, Quote & History - Yahoo Finance
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Adeia Inc. (ADEA) Stock Price, Quote, News & Analysis | Seeking Alpha
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Adeia (ADEA) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Transcript | The Motley Fool
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ADEA: Adeia Inc - Stock Price, Quote and News - CNBC
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Investor Relations | Adeia Inc.
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Adeia (Nasdaq:ADEA) - Stock Analysis - Simply Wall St
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Stock Quote & Chart | Adeia Inc.
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Adeia Inc. Common Stock (ADEA) Earnings Report Dates & Earnings Forecasts | Nasdaq
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Adeia Inc. (ADEA) Latest Stock News & Headlines - Yahoo Finance
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Adeia (ADEA) Stock Price & Overview
How We Find and Score This Setup
We scan more than 6,000 NYSE and NASDAQ stocks every trading day and compare each detected pattern against a database of 370,000+ historical detections. Every setup is scored across three dimensions: Structure, Volume, and Breakout Readiness. Win probability is a calibrated estimate of how similar historical setups performed over the following 10 trading days. This is a swing trading tool built for multi-day holds. It is not built or tested for day trading.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ADEA a good swing trade?
ADEA scored 84 out of 98 on our bull flag scan, with a 62% historical win probability over the standard 10 trading day hold. Strong setup based on our systematic scoring.
What is the entry, target, and stop loss for this setup?
The setup's reference price is $27.89, with a conservative target of $28.81 and a stop loss at $26.77.
What would invalidate this bull flag setup?
A close below the stop loss at $26.77 would invalidate the setup and suggest the pattern has failed.
How is the win probability calculated?
Win probability is a calibrated estimate of how similar historical bull flag setups performed over the following 10 trading days, drawn from a database of 370,000+ historical pattern detections across 6,000+ NYSE and NASDAQ stocks.
Market & Sector Regime
Market
Bullish
0.81
-1.0
0
+1.0
Technology Sector
Bullish
0.78
-1.0
0
+1.0
Overall Score
40
of 40
Pattern Quality
18
of 20
Setup
11
of 20
R/R
15
of 18
Context
Pattern Quality Score
15
of 15
Structure
13
of 13
Breakout
12
of 12
Volume
Recent Performance
Momentum & Trend
RSI (14)
72.1
Overbought
MACD Histogram
+0.08
Bullish
Bollinger Band Position
93.9%
Upper Band
Volatility & Risk
20-Day Volatility
0.42
High
ATR %
3.7%
Medium
Beta
1.36
Above Mkt
Volume Analysis
Volume Ratio
0.90x
Average
20-Day Avg Vol
1.2M
shares / day
Current Volume
1.1M
shares traded
Price Levels
Target
$28.81
52W High
$27.92
Current
$27.89
Resistance
$27.59
Stop Loss
$26.77
Support
$26.42
52W Low
$10.45
Disclaimer: This analysis is algorithmically generated for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past pattern performance does not guarantee future results. Win probabilities are based on historical data across 370,000+ observations. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor. AI-assisted contextual analysis by Claude (Anthropic). Indicators reflect values at time of detection.