Swing Trading Plan
Holding Period
3-8 trading days
Expected figures are probability-weighted from our historical pattern database; Trade R:R is measured from the entry, target and stop levels.
Current Setup
ALTG is forming a rounding bottom pattern with solid technical structure (13/15), strong breakout potential (13/13), and moderate volume confirmation (9/12). The stock trades at $7.45, 82% above its 52-week low of $4.16 and 17% below its $9.00 52-week high. Key resistance sits at $7.91 with support anchored at $4.16. The rounding base has completed with volume 1.97x average—above typical 1.5x threshold—and positive MACD histogram (0.1516) confirming upside momentum. Overall score of 70 reflects a credible setup primed for breakout.
Stock Context
ALTG operates in industrial equipment distribution, a sector benefiting from infrastructure spending and construction recovery. The Industrials sector regime scores 0.51 (bullish), while broader market regime is strong at 0.86. Recent price action shows substantial momentum: +42.72% over one month and +16.22% over two weeks. The stock's 2.54 beta indicates elevated volatility, consistent with small-cap equipment distributors. No major earnings announcements or analyst actions were found in recent searches, suggesting the rounding bottom is forming in a relatively quiet news environment—allowing price action and technicals to drive the pattern formation.
What to Expect
A successful rounding bottom breakout above $7.91 would target the conservative measure of $7.77 (near-term resistance), with potential continuation toward the 52-week high of $9.00 if momentum sustains. The 64.72% win probability suggests above-average odds for successful completion. Volume confirmation is crucial: sustained trading above 1.5x average volume on a breakout would validate the setup. The pattern invalidates on a close below $4.16 (key support), which would represent a breakdown of the base and negate the setup's technical premise.
Risk Factors
Several headwinds warrant caution. ALTG's 2.54 beta signals 2.5x volatility of the broader market—sharp reversals can occur rapidly in small-cap industrials. RSI at 62.52 is approaching overbought territory (70+), indicating momentum may be extended after the one-month 42.72% gain. Volume, while elevated at 1.97x average, remains modest in absolute terms (383k shares), making the stock susceptible to liquidity evaporations. High 20-day volatility (0.71) and 5.1% ATR suggest wide intraday swings. Equipment distributors face cyclical risks tied to construction demand and capex cycles. No recent catalyst was identified, raising questions about sustainability of the current uptrend if macro conditions shift.
How We Find and Score This Setup
We scan more than 6,000 NYSE and NASDAQ stocks every trading day and compare each detected pattern against a database of 370,000+ historical detections. Every setup is scored across three dimensions: Structure, Volume, and Breakout Readiness. Win probability is a calibrated estimate of how similar historical setups performed over the following 10 trading days. This is a swing trading tool built for multi-day holds. It is not built or tested for day trading.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ALTG a good swing trade?
ALTG scored 70 out of 98 on our rounding bottom scan, with a 65% historical win probability over a 3-8 trading days hold. Good setup based on our systematic scoring.
What is the entry, target, and stop loss for this setup?
The setup's reference price is $7.45, with a conservative target of $7.77 and a stop loss at $7.02.
What would invalidate this rounding bottom setup?
A close below the stop loss at $7.02 would invalidate the setup and suggest the pattern has failed.
How is the win probability calculated?
Win probability is a calibrated estimate of how similar historical rounding bottom setups performed over the following 10 trading days, drawn from a database of 370,000+ historical pattern detections across 6,000+ NYSE and NASDAQ stocks.