MMYT: Rounding Bottom detected on 13 Aug 2026

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On 13 Aug 2026, our scan flagged MMYT as a rounding bottom setup scoring 68 out of 98 (Moderate tier), with a 63% win probability based on our historical pattern database and a 0.81 to 1 risk to reward profile from the published levels. This is a swing trade setup: win probability reflects a multi-day swing hold, not an intraday move. At $60.31, the conservative target is $62.92 with a stop at $57.10. A further breakout above resistance near $74.26 offers a larger move if momentum continues past the initial target.

Overall Score
68 of 98
Moderate
Win Probability
63%
Moderate
Trade R:R
0.81 : 1
$2.61 to target $3.21 to stop
Swing Trading Plan
Entry
$60.31
Target
$62.92
Stop Loss
$57.10
Holding Period
3-8 trading days
Expected Return
+$0.02
Exp. Reward
+$1.26
Exp. Risk
-$1.24

Expected figures are probability-weighted from our historical pattern database; Trade R:R is measured from the entry, target and stop levels.

Current Setup
MMYT has formed a rounding_bottom pattern with an overall score of 68.0 (solid mid-range quality). The structure score of 10.0 reflects a gradual uptrend forming, while the breakout score of 13.0 indicates moderate readiness for directional movement. Volume support is present at 11.0, though current volume of 466,466 shares is 56% of the 20-day average of 833,517, signaling below-average participation. The pattern shows key support at $32.67 and resistance at $74.26. At $60.31 currently, the stock is 84.6% above its 52-week low and 42.25% below its 52-week high, positioning it mid-recovery from recent weakness. RSI sits at 59.2 (neutral), and MACD histogram is positive at 0.2021.
Stock Context
MakeMyTrip reported first quarter 2026 results on August 3 with sales of US$151.18 million and revenue of US$285.58 million. Net income declined to US$8.35 million, with diluted EPS at US$0.09. On July 17, 2026, MakeMyTrip announced that its MMT India unit confidentially filed for an IPO and main-board listing on Indian stock exchanges. The company expects the MMT India share sale to enhance brand visibility, support tech talent recruitment and fund long-term growth and acquisitions. Ongoing investment in product innovation, particularly in AI powered personalization and user experience improvements, positions MakeMyTrip for higher conversion rates and better customer retention. The most recent analyst rating on MMYT stock is a Buy with a $65.00 price target.
What to Expect
A successful breakout above key resistance at $74.26 would validate the rounding_bottom structure. The measured move target is $62.92 (conservative), representing modest upside from current levels. Win probability of 63.43% suggests a coin-flip-plus-edge setup. Volume confirmation is critical—a breakout should occur on volume exceeding the 20-day average of 833,517 shares to confirm institutional participation. The pattern fails if price closes below key support at $32.67, which would negate the bullish structure entirely. ATR of 2.93 (4.86% of price) indicates typical daily moves of approximately 3%, so expect volatility to persist during breakout attempts.
Risk Factors
According to AI analyst Spark at TipRanks, the score is constrained by elevated financial risk and weaker 2026 cash-flow/earnings quality with negative equity, higher debt, and free cash flow dropping to zero. The current P/S of 5.5x sits well above the US Hospitality average of 1.7x and peer average of 2.9x, meaning less room for error if growth or margins fall short. Recent Q1 results showed net income declined to US$8.35 million with diluted EPS at US$0.09, significantly pressuring profitability. Volume is concerning at 56% of average—below-average participation suggests weak conviction. The India IPO, while growth-oriented, adds execution risk and capital allocation uncertainty. No major earnings catalyst until next quarter, but macro/geopolitical headwinds noted as constraints on near-term upside.
How We Find and Score This Setup
We scan more than 6,000 NYSE and NASDAQ stocks every trading day and compare each detected pattern against a database of 370,000+ historical detections. Every setup is scored across three dimensions: Structure, Volume, and Breakout Readiness. Win probability is a calibrated estimate of how similar historical setups performed over the following 10 trading days. This is a swing trading tool built for multi-day holds. It is not built or tested for day trading.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is MMYT a good swing trade?
MMYT scored 68 out of 98 on our rounding bottom scan, with a 63% historical win probability over a 3-8 trading days hold. Moderate setup based on our systematic scoring.
What is the entry, target, and stop loss for this setup?
The setup's reference price is $60.31, with a conservative target of $62.92 and a stop loss at $57.10.
What would invalidate this rounding bottom setup?
A close below the stop loss at $57.10 would invalidate the setup and suggest the pattern has failed.
How is the win probability calculated?
Win probability is a calibrated estimate of how similar historical rounding bottom setups performed over the following 10 trading days, drawn from a database of 370,000+ historical pattern detections across 6,000+ NYSE and NASDAQ stocks.
Market & Sector Regime
Market
Bullish 0.89
-1.0 0 +1.0
Consumer Discretionary Sector
Bullish 0.65
-1.0 0 +1.0
Other Patterns Detected Today
Bullish Pennant
14 days in pattern
Moderate 26.0
Overall Score
34 of 40
Strong
Pattern Quality
15 of 20
Good
Setup
11 of 20
Fair
R/R
8 of 18
Weak
Context
Pattern Quality Score
10 of 15
Moderate
Structure
13 of 13
Exceptional
Breakout
11 of 12
Exceptional
Volume
Recent Performance
-1.4%
1W
+5.5%
2W
+8.2%
1M
+34.1%
3M
Momentum & Trend
RSI (14)
59.2
Neutral
MACD Histogram
+0.20
Bullish
Bollinger Band Position
70.7%
Upper Zone
Volatility & Risk
20-Day Volatility
0.66
Very High
ATR %
4.9%
Medium
Beta
0.77
Below Mkt
Volume Analysis
Volume Ratio
0.56x
Below Avg
20-Day Avg Vol
834K
shares / day
Current Volume
466K
shares traded
Price Levels
52W High
$104.43
Resistance
$74.26
Target
$62.92
Current
$60.31
Stop Loss
$57.10
52W Low
$32.67
Support
$32.67
Disclaimer: This analysis is algorithmically generated for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past pattern performance does not guarantee future results. Win probabilities are based on historical data across 370,000+ observations. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor. AI-assisted contextual analysis by Claude (Anthropic). Indicators reflect values at time of detection.