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PUMP CLNN SI ELE CE VELO DMRC RES FTK GHRS

PUMP: Bullish Pennant detected on 13 Mar 2026

Overall Score

90 of 100

Exceptional

Win Probability

78%

High

Reward / Risk

2.9 : 1

$0.46 reward $-0.16 risk

Summary Context Technical Indicators

Current Setup

PUMP is forming a bullish pennant consolidation pattern near $14.39, just 1.17% below its 52-week high of $14.56. The structure score of 15/15 indicates textbook pennant geometry, while breakout score of 11.7/13 and volume score of 10.8/12 suggest moderate confirmation strength. Current volume is 6.36M shares at 1.91x average daily volume—solid relative activity but not explosive. The overall score of 89.5/98 and 77.88% win probability indicate a high-quality setup. RSI is elevated at 73.86, reflecting strong upward momentum over the past month (+29.17%).

Stock Context

ProPetro shares jumped 10.5% on March 12 after crude oil prices surged following new attacks on energy infrastructure in the Middle East. Fundamentally, ProPetro beat Q4 2025 earnings estimates by 107.69%, reporting EPS of $0.01 versus a consensus loss estimate of -$0.13. However, Zacks downgraded Q1 2026 earnings expectations to -$0.11 per share on March 4, down from -$0.09. Piper Sandler raised their price target to $17.00 with an overweight rating on January 14. The analyst consensus remains mixed: four analysts rate it Buy, three Hold, and one Sell. The recent price surge reflects energy sector tailwinds and improved sentiment, but near-term earnings uncertainty creates volatility.

What to Expect

A breakout above key resistance at $14.56 would complete the pennant and trigger upside momentum toward the measured move target of $15.33, representing a 6.5% gain from current levels. Successful breakouts from this pattern typically require volume expansion above the 1.91x relative volume seen at breakout point. The 77.88% win probability indicates strong historical precedent. Invalidation occurs on a close below the key support level of $10.61, which would represent a 26.3% loss and signal a failed setup requiring pattern rejection.

Risk Factors

Multiple headwinds threaten this pattern. Q1 2026 earnings expectations were recently lowered to -$0.11 EPS as of March 4. Next earnings are scheduled for May 5, 2026, presenting potential volatility risk. ProPetro faces execution risk and lengthy, costly sales cycles threatening power generation revenue. RSI at 73.86 signals overbought conditions—typical of stocks vulnerable to pullbacks. The high beta of 2.02 and elevated volatility of 64.6% amplify downside risk during market corrections. While the energy sector regime is bullish (+0.6), overall market regime is neutral (-0.17). Any reversal in crude oil prices or macro slowdown could invalidate the setup quickly.

Market & Sector Regime

Market

Neutral -0.18

-1.0 0 +1.0

Energy Sector

Bullish 0.60

-1.0 0 +1.0

Other Patterns Detected Today

Bull Flag

42 days in pattern

Good 31.3

Three White Soldiers

3 days in pattern

Good 32.4

Overall Score

38 of 40

Exceptional

Pattern Quality

20 of 20

Exceptional

Setup

17 of 20

Strong

R/R

15 of 18

Strong

Context

Pattern Quality Score

15 of 15

Exceptional

Structure

12 of 13

Exceptional

Breakout

11 of 12

Exceptional

Volume

Recent Performance

+14.2%

+20.9%

+29.2%

+31.2%

Momentum & Trend

RSI (14)

73.9

Overbought

MACD Histogram

+0.12

Bullish

Bollinger Band Position

124.1%

Upper Band

Volatility & Risk

20-Day Volatility

0.65

Very High

ATR %

5.2%

High

Beta

2.02

High Beta

Volume Analysis

Volume Ratio

1.91x

Very High

20-Day Avg Vol

3.3M

shares / day

Current Volume

6.4M

shares traded

Price Levels

Target

$15.33

52W High

$14.56

Resistance

$14.56

Current

$14.39

Stop Loss

$13.08

Support

$10.61

52W Low

$4.51

Disclaimer: This analysis is algorithmically generated for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past pattern performance does not guarantee future results. Win probabilities are based on historical data across 370,000+ observations. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor. AI-assisted contextual analysis by Claude (Anthropic). Indicators reflect values at time of detection.