BULL: Bull Flag detected on 10 Jul 2026

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On 10 Jul 2026, our scan flagged BULL as a bull flag setup scoring 83 out of 98 (Strong tier), with a 73% win probability based on our historical pattern database and a 2.0 to 1 reward to risk ratio. This is a swing trade setup: win probability reflects a 10 trading day hold, not an intraday move. At $7.30, the conservative target is $7.54 with a stop at $6.90. A further breakout above resistance near $7.59 offers a larger move if momentum continues past the initial target.

Overall Score
83 of 98
Strong
Win Probability
73%
High
Reward / Risk
2.0 : 1
$0.12 reward $-0.06 risk
Swing Trading Plan
Entry
$7.30
Target
$7.54
Stop Loss
$6.90
Holding Period
Up to 10 trading days
Win Probability
73%
Current Setup
BULL is forming a bull flag pattern with solid structure (14.9/15) and optimal volume (12.0/12), though breakout momentum scores lower at 9.9/13. Price is consolidating near $7.30 resistance after a 43.7% three-month rally. Current price of $7.30 sits 62% above the 52-week low and 60% below the 52-week high, indicating a mid-cycle setup. The bull flag structure suggests buyers are pausing at key resistance before the next leg higher. Volume ratio of 0.58x average suggests traders are waiting for a catalyst to confirm direction. RSI at 60 is neither overbought nor oversold, offering room to extend. Support sits at $6.94; resistance at $7.59 with conservative target of $7.54.
Stock Context
Webull Corporation launched Webull Institutional on July 7, 2026, a comprehensive brokerage and infrastructure platform for brokers, hedge funds, advisors, fintechs, and banks, built on technology serving over 27 million investors. Q1 2026 revenue reached $159.9 million, up 36% year-over-year, though earnings per share were $0.03, meeting analyst expectations. Analysts have raised their Webull price target from $11.67 to $12.00, reflecting updated growth and margin assumptions. The company authorized a $100 million share repurchase program. Webull is positioning for the removal of Pattern Day Trader rules, which will allow users to place unlimited day trades without maintaining a $25,000 minimum balance. This regulatory tailwind and institutional expansion directly support the current uptrend.
What to Expect
A successful bull flag breakout would confirm above $7.59, targeting $7.54 on the conservative measure—a modest 3.3% extension. Historical bull flag data suggests a 73.21% win probability for this setup. Volume confirmation is critical: buyers must exceed the 7.0M average on the breakout candle to validate momentum. Invalidation occurs on a close below support at $6.94, which would flip the pattern to a failed consolidation and potentially open downside toward $6.50–$6.20. The pattern implies consolidation is near completion; the next 3–5 sessions should see directional clarity.
Risk Factors
Next earnings are scheduled for August 27, 2026, creating a near-term catalyst window where volatility could spike on guidance or miss. Beta of 1.21 signals 21% higher volatility than the broad market—amplifying both gains and drawdowns. Current volume is running 58% of 20-day average, which could indicate lack of conviction before the breakout; a whipsaw is possible if early breakout buyers exit on news. Recent insider net selling and existing resale registrations are a potential headwind. Q1 net loss of $21.7 million widened 152% versus the prior year, signaling profitability remains under pressure despite revenue growth. Finance sector regime (0.86 bullish score) is supportive, but macro volatility or tech sector weakness could interrupt the setup.
How We Find and Score This Setup
We scan more than 6,000 NYSE and NASDAQ stocks every trading day and compare each detected pattern against a database of 370,000+ historical detections. Every setup is scored across three dimensions: Structure, Volume, and Breakout Readiness. Win probability is a calibrated estimate of how similar historical setups performed over the following 10 trading days. This is a swing trading tool built for multi-day holds. It is not built or tested for day trading.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BULL a good swing trade?
BULL scored 83 out of 98 on our bull flag scan, with a 73% historical win probability over the standard 10 trading day hold. Strong setup based on our systematic scoring.
What is the entry, target, and stop loss for this setup?
The setup's reference price is $7.30, with a conservative target of $7.54 and a stop loss at $6.90.
What would invalidate this bull flag setup?
A close below the stop loss at $6.90 would invalidate the setup and suggest the pattern has failed.
How is the win probability calculated?
Win probability is a calibrated estimate of how similar historical bull flag setups performed over the following 10 trading days, drawn from a database of 370,000+ historical pattern detections across 6,000+ NYSE and NASDAQ stocks.
Market & Sector Regime
Market
Bullish 0.50
-1.0 0 +1.0
Finance Sector
Bullish 0.86
-1.0 0 +1.0
Overall Score
37 of 40
Exceptional
Pattern Quality
20 of 20
Exceptional
Setup
13 of 20
Moderate
R/R
13 of 18
Good
Context
Pattern Quality Score
15 of 15
Exceptional
Structure
10 of 13
Good
Breakout
12 of 12
Exceptional
Volume
Recent Performance
+1.7%
1W
+8.8%
2W
+28.8%
1M
+43.7%
3M
Momentum & Trend
RSI (14)
60.1
Neutral
MACD Histogram
+0.06
Bullish
Bollinger Band Position
83.7%
Upper Zone
Volatility & Risk
20-Day Volatility
0.75
Very High
ATR %
5.5%
High
Beta
1.21
Above Mkt
Volume Analysis
Volume Ratio
0.58x
Below Avg
20-Day Avg Vol
12.1M
shares / day
Current Volume
7.0M
shares traded
Price Levels
52W High
$18.32
Resistance
$7.59
Target
$7.54
Current
$7.30
Support
$6.94
Stop Loss
$6.90
52W Low
$4.50
Disclaimer: This analysis is algorithmically generated for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past pattern performance does not guarantee future results. Win probabilities are based on historical data across 370,000+ observations. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor. AI-assisted contextual analysis by Claude (Anthropic). Indicators reflect values at time of detection.