Swing Trading Plan
Holding Period
3-9 trading days
Expected figures are probability-weighted from our historical pattern database; Trade R:R is measured from the entry, target and stop levels.
Current Setup
Three White Soldiers pattern forming at $575.78, with perfect structure (15/15), solid breakout signal (13/13), and strong volume confirmation (12/12) combining for an overall score of 77/77. Pattern sits between support at $506.54 and resistance at $595, just 3.3% below key resistance. Volume surge at 1.87x average (144,849 shares) validates buying interest. Win probability of 65.46% suggests reliable technical setup. RSI at 60.13 indicates neither overbought nor oversold conditions, supporting continuation potential.
Stock Context
CACC shares rose 5.7% on October 29, 2026 to $575.78, with the stock appreciating 29.8% year-to-date. Q3 2026 earnings reported adjusted EPS of $13.01, beating consensus by 3.4%, though revenue of $594.6 million missed expectations by 2.2%. Consumer loan assignment volume rose 38% year-over-year and active dealers reached a record 12,093, with economic profit gaining 18% to $50.7 million. However, the company reported a net loss of $56.6 million versus net income of $108.2 million in the prior year. Forecasted net cash flows declined $291 million due to revised lifetime collections expectations, with underperformance concentrated in lower risk-score bands. The pattern emerges amid mixed fundamentals—strong operational growth offset by credit quality concerns and large insider selling.
What to Expect
Successful three white soldiers breakout targets $604.22 (measured conservative move), requiring volume above 77,543 average as confirmation. Invalidation occurs at support $506.54, representing a 12% downside risk from current levels. The stock trades within its 52-week range of $401.90 to $668.86, positioning current resistance breakout toward the high end of the range. Win probability of 65.46% indicates above-average likelihood of upside follow-through. Pattern quality score of 77 suggests technical setup is more reliable than typical breakout attempts in the consumer finance sector.
Risk Factors
Insider activity shows insiders sold $86.8 million worth of stock over the past 12 months with no buying activity, suggesting management lacks confidence at current valuations. Increased provisions for credit losses represent financial weakness amid deteriorating subprime credit quality. Forecast revisions downward by $291 million signal unexpected portfolio stress, concentrated in lower risk borrowers. The company reached a $710 million predatory auto lending settlement with state attorneys general in September, creating regulatory headwind. Low beta of 0.12 provides limited upside leverage if broader market accelerates. Sector regime is bullish (0.95 score) but broader market regime is neutral (-0.12), creating cross-current pressure for momentum continuation.
How We Find and Score This Setup
We scan more than 6,000 NYSE and NASDAQ stocks every trading day and compare each detected pattern against a database of 370,000+ historical detections. Every setup is scored across three dimensions: Structure, Volume, and Breakout Readiness. Win probability is a calibrated estimate of how similar historical setups performed over the following 10 trading days. This is a swing trading tool built for multi-day holds. It is not built or tested for day trading.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CACC a good swing trade?
CACC scored 77 out of 98 on our three white soldiers scan, with a 65% historical win probability over a 3-9 trading days hold. Good setup based on our systematic scoring.
What is the entry, target, and stop loss for this setup?
The setup's reference price is $575.78, with a conservative target of $604.22 and a stop loss at $531.79.
What would invalidate this three white soldiers setup?
A close below the stop loss at $531.79 would invalidate the setup and suggest the pattern has failed.
How is the win probability calculated?
Win probability is a calibrated estimate of how similar historical three white soldiers setups performed over the following 10 trading days, drawn from a database of 370,000+ historical pattern detections across 6,000+ NYSE and NASDAQ stocks.
Market & Sector Regime
Market
Neutral
-0.12
-1.0
0
+1.0
Finance Sector
Bullish
0.96
-1.0
0
+1.0
Other Patterns Detected Today
Bull Flag
19 days in pattern
Weak
23.2