CHPT: Bullish Engulfing detected on 5 Jun 2026

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On 5 Jun 2026, our scan flagged CHPT as a bullish engulfing setup scoring 80 out of 98 (Strong tier), with a 56% win probability based on our historical pattern database and a 0.5 to 1 reward to risk ratio. This is a swing trade setup: win probability reflects a 10 trading day hold, not an intraday move. At $8.31, the conservative target is $8.85 with a stop at $7.55.

Overall Score
80 of 98
Strong
Win Probability
56%
Low
Reward / Risk
0.5 : 1
$0.09 reward $-0.17 risk
Swing Trading Plan
Entry
$8.31
Target
$8.85
Stop Loss
$7.55
Holding Period
Up to 10 trading days
Win Probability
56%
Current Setup
CHPT has formed a bullish engulfing pattern at $8.31, just below key resistance at $8.49. The pattern quality scores are solid: structure at 15/15, volume at 12/12 (reflecting elevated relative volume of 2.11x the 20-day average at 1.3M shares), and breakout strength at 9/13. The overall score of 80 and win probability of 55.65% indicate a credible setup. Price is trading 87% above its 52-week low but remains 53% below its high, with strong momentum: up 40% in three months and 6.5% this week alone.
Stock Context
ChargePoint reported Q1 CY2026 results beating Wall Street's revenue expectations, with sales up 4.3% year-on-year to $101.8 million. Guidance for next quarter's revenue was better than expected at $105 million at the midpoint, 1.9% above analysts' estimates. CEO Rick Wilmer highlighted Q1 as a strong start, delivering a third consecutive quarter of year-over-year growth. ChargePoint launched the Express Solo, the world's fastest standalone EV charger. Positive context includes subscription revenue growth of 7% and improved gross margins. Multiple executives received RSU grants in early June, suggesting confidence. However, the company remains unprofitable with a GAAP loss of $1.75 per share, 5.8% better than estimates.
What to Expect
A successful breakout above $8.49 resistance would target the conservative price target of $8.85, representing a 6.5% measured move. Volume confirmation is critical given the 2.11x relative volume context—sustained buying above resistance validates the pattern. The invalidation level sits at key support of $5.82, a ~30% downside risk if the pattern fails. With a 55.65% win probability, this setup has slightly better odds than a coin flip, typical of engulfing patterns in bullish regimes. A breakout would signal continuation into a larger recovery from the 52-week lows.
Risk Factors
High volatility poses significant risk: 20-day volatility of 67% and beta of 2.6 create sharp intraday swings that can trigger false breakouts. RSI at 67.6 signals near-overbought conditions, just below the 70 threshold—extended moves higher could face profit-taking. Consumer Discretionary sector is in bearish regime (-0.41 regime score), conflicting with the stock's recent strength and limiting sector tailwinds. While the market regime is bullish (0.95), the sector headwind is notable. Most concerning: the company burns significant cash with only $95.8 million on hand and negative adjusted EBITDA margins of -18.8%, requiring sustained revenue growth to remain solvent long-term. No imminent earnings trigger exists post-June 3 results, reducing near-term catalysts.
How We Find and Score This Setup
We scan more than 6,000 NYSE and NASDAQ stocks every trading day and compare each detected pattern against a database of 370,000+ historical detections. Every setup is scored across three dimensions: Structure, Volume, and Breakout Readiness. Win probability is a calibrated estimate of how similar historical setups performed over the following 10 trading days. This is a swing trading tool built for multi-day holds. It is not built or tested for day trading.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CHPT a good swing trade?
CHPT scored 80 out of 98 on our bullish engulfing scan, with a 56% historical win probability over the standard 10 trading day hold. Strong setup based on our systematic scoring.
What is the entry, target, and stop loss for this setup?
The setup's reference price is $8.31, with a conservative target of $8.85 and a stop loss at $7.55.
What would invalidate this bullish engulfing setup?
A close below the stop loss at $7.55 would invalidate the setup and suggest the pattern has failed.
How is the win probability calculated?
Win probability is a calibrated estimate of how similar historical bullish engulfing setups performed over the following 10 trading days, drawn from a database of 370,000+ historical pattern detections across 6,000+ NYSE and NASDAQ stocks.
Market & Sector Regime
Market
Bullish 0.96
-1.0 0 +1.0
Consumer Discretionary Sector
Bearish -0.41
-1.0 0 +1.0
Overall Score
36 of 40
Exceptional
Pattern Quality
20 of 20
Exceptional
Setup
11 of 20
Fair
R/R
13 of 18
Good
Context
Pattern Quality Score
15 of 15
Exceptional
Structure
9 of 13
Moderate
Breakout
12 of 12
Exceptional
Volume
Recent Performance
+6.5%
1W
+33.4%
2W
+31.3%
1M
+40.4%
3M
Momentum & Trend
RSI (14)
67.6
Neutral
MACD Histogram
+0.10
Bullish
Bollinger Band Position
94.2%
Upper Band
Volatility & Risk
20-Day Volatility
0.67
Very High
ATR %
7.2%
High
Beta
2.60
High Beta
Volume Analysis
Volume Ratio
2.11x
Very High
20-Day Avg Vol
621K
shares / day
Current Volume
1.3M
shares traded
Price Levels
52W High
$17.78
Target
$8.85
Resistance
$8.49
Current
$8.31
Stop Loss
$7.55
Support
$5.82
52W Low
$4.44
Disclaimer: This analysis is algorithmically generated for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past pattern performance does not guarantee future results. Win probabilities are based on historical data across 370,000+ observations. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor. AI-assisted contextual analysis by Claude (Anthropic). Indicators reflect values at time of detection.