COUR: Rounding Bottom detected on 1 Jul 2026

Coursera is forming a rounding bottom pattern at $5.64, just 12.8% above its 52-week low and 58.4% below the 52-week high. The pattern shows moderate structure quality (13/15) with solid volume confirmation (12/12) and developing breakout momentum (10/13) for an overall score of 72. RSI at 52.68 indicates neutral momentum; MACD histogram is positive at 0.0473. Key support sits at $5.00 with resistance at $9.96. The conservative breakout target is $5.88, representing a 4.3% measured move from current levels.

Coursera reported Q1 2026 earnings on April 23, 2026, posting EPS of $0.07, beating analyst expectations of $0.05 by 40%. The company delivered $196 million in revenue (up 9% YoY) with Consumer segment revenue growing 10% YoY for the fourth consecutive quarter, and added a record 7.6 million new registered learners. In June 2026, Coursera issued full-year 2026 guidance projecting reported revenue between $1.21–$1.24 billion with normalized revenue of $1.49–$1.52 billion, and analysts subsequently raised earnings estimates expressing stronger confidence in the outlook. The company holds $790 million in cash with no debt, providing financial stability.

A successful rounding bottom breakout would clear the $9.96 resistance level with volume confirmation above the 7.96M 20-day average (current volume at 5.6M remains 30% below average). The 64.72% win probability suggests moderate breakout reliability. The conservative measured move target of $5.88 is modest, reflecting the early-stage pattern; larger moves to $9.96 resistance are possible upon full breakout. Invalidation occurs below $5.00 support—a break below this level signals pattern failure and would indicate consolidation or downtrend resumption.

Coursera's next earnings report is scheduled for July 23, 2026, with analysts projecting an EPS of -$0.10—a material earnings miss risk just 22 days away that could disrupt the pattern. The Enterprise segment faces macroeconomic headwinds with the Coursera for Business unit under pressure and net retention rate at 90%, indicating customer downscaling and budget constraints. Competition and skepticism about online credentials could limit Consumer conversion and revenue quality. Current volume is 30% below the 20-day average at only 0.7x relative volume, weakening breakout conviction. Beta of 0.78 provides some downside cushion, but sector regime is only moderately bullish at 0.47.

We scan more than 6,000 NYSE and NASDAQ stocks every trading day and compare each detected pattern against a database of 370,000+ historical detections. Every setup is scored across three dimensions: Structure, Volume, and Breakout Readiness. Win probability is a calibrated estimate of how similar historical setups performed over the following 10 trading days. This is a swing trading tool built for multi-day holds. It is not built or tested for day trading.