CVLT: Bull Flag detected on 20 Apr 2026

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On 20 Apr 2026, our scan flagged CVLT as a bull flag setup scoring 86 out of 98 (Strong tier), with a 62% win probability based on our historical pattern database and a 0.1 to 1 reward to risk ratio. This is a swing trade setup: win probability reflects a 10 trading day hold, not an intraday move. At $94.23, the conservative target is $97.34 with a stop at $88.84.

Overall Score
86 of 98
Strong
Win Probability
62%
Moderate
Reward / Risk
0.1 : 1
$0.18 reward $-1.74 risk
Swing Trading Plan
Entry
$94.23
Target
$97.34
Stop Loss
$88.84
Holding Period
Up to 10 trading days
Win Probability
62%
Current Setup
CVLT is forming a bull flag pattern with a structure score of 15/15, indicating well-defined consolidation after a sharp advance. The stock trades at $94.23, anchored by key support at $88.03 and immediate resistance at $92.14. The pattern sits 53% below its 52-week high, suggesting room for recovery. Volume ratio of 0.82 and breakout score of 12.5/13 indicate consolidation is typical for this pattern type, though volume during the flag formation is slightly below average at 1.04M shares.
Stock Context
Recent web searches reveal limited material news for CVLT in early 2026. The stock has demonstrated strong momentum over the past two weeks (+17.89%) and one month (+16.98%), following a difficult three-month period (−24.73%). This suggests a reversal underway after weakness, with the current pattern forming during a recovery bounce. The technology sector maintains a bullish regime (0.78 score), supporting software infrastructure plays. CVLT's beta of 0.97 indicates market-correlated movement. Without specific recent catalysts found, the pattern appears to be technical mean reversion after prior selling pressure.
What to Expect
A successful bull flag breakout would see CVLT clear the $92.14 resistance level on volume above the 1.26M average, targeting the conservative measured move of $97.34—approximately 3.2% upside from current price. Historical bull flag win probability stands at 61.79%, indicating better-than-even odds. The pattern invalidates if price closes below the key support level of $88.03 (a 6.6% downside risk), which would negate the bullish setup and signal capitulation.
Risk Factors
RSI at 69.32 approaches overbought territory (70+), suggesting momentum may be stalling at resistance. Current volume at 1.04M trails the 20-day average of 1.26M by 18%, indicating weaker participation during the consolidation phase—a potential warning that breakout conviction may be questionable. The stock trades 53% below its 52-week high, raising questions about whether the recovery will be sustained or represents a dead-cat bounce. No recent earnings announcements or analyst actions were found in searches, limiting visibility into fundamental catalysts. Elevated 20-day volatility at 50.5% creates whipsaw risk around breakout attempts.
How We Find and Score This Setup
We scan more than 6,000 NYSE and NASDAQ stocks every trading day and compare each detected pattern against a database of 370,000+ historical detections. Every setup is scored across three dimensions: Structure, Volume, and Breakout Readiness. Win probability is a calibrated estimate of how similar historical setups performed over the following 10 trading days. This is a swing trading tool built for multi-day holds. It is not built or tested for day trading.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CVLT a good swing trade?
CVLT scored 86 out of 98 on our bull flag scan, with a 62% historical win probability over the standard 10 trading day hold. Strong setup based on our systematic scoring.
What is the entry, target, and stop loss for this setup?
The setup's reference price is $94.23, with a conservative target of $97.34 and a stop loss at $88.84.
What would invalidate this bull flag setup?
A close below the stop loss at $88.84 would invalidate the setup and suggest the pattern has failed.
How is the win probability calculated?
Win probability is a calibrated estimate of how similar historical bull flag setups performed over the following 10 trading days, drawn from a database of 370,000+ historical pattern detections across 6,000+ NYSE and NASDAQ stocks.
Market & Sector Regime
Market
Bullish 0.81
-1.0 0 +1.0
Technology Sector
Bullish 0.78
-1.0 0 +1.0
Overall Score
39 of 40
Exceptional
Pattern Quality
20 of 20
Exceptional
Setup
11 of 20
Fair
R/R
15 of 18
Strong
Context
Pattern Quality Score
15 of 15
Exceptional
Structure
12 of 13
Exceptional
Breakout
12 of 12
Exceptional
Volume
Recent Performance
+6.0%
1W
+17.9%
2W
+17.0%
1M
-24.7%
3M
Momentum & Trend
RSI (14)
69.3
Neutral
MACD Histogram
+1.98
Strong Bullish
Bollinger Band Position
95.3%
Upper Band
Volatility & Risk
20-Day Volatility
0.51
Very High
ATR %
5.2%
High
Beta
0.97
Market
Volume Analysis
Volume Ratio
0.82x
Average
20-Day Avg Vol
1.3M
shares / day
Current Volume
1.0M
shares traded
Price Levels
52W High
$200.70
Target
$97.34
Current
$94.23
Resistance
$92.14
Stop Loss
$88.84
Support
$88.03
52W Low
$71.75
Disclaimer: This analysis is algorithmically generated for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past pattern performance does not guarantee future results. Win probabilities are based on historical data across 370,000+ observations. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor. AI-assisted contextual analysis by Claude (Anthropic). Indicators reflect values at time of detection.