GS: Ascending Triangle detected on 29 Oct 2026
All prices, scores, and news on this page reflect data available before market open on .
Browse all Ascending Triangle detections →On 29 Oct 2026, our scan flagged GS as a ascending triangle setup scoring 76 out of 98 (Good tier), with a 57% win probability based on our historical pattern database and a 0.68 to 1 risk to reward profile from the published levels. This is a swing trade setup: win probability reflects a multi-day swing hold, not an intraday move. At $925.17, the conservative target is $970.86 with a stop at $858.29.
Overall Score
76
of 98
Good
Win Probability
57%
Low
Trade R:R
0.68
: 1
$45.69 to target
$66.88 to stop
Swing Trading Plan
Entry
$925.17
Target
$970.86
Stop Loss
$858.29
Holding Period
2-7 trading days
Expected Return
+$9.00
Exp. Reward
+$20.60
Exp. Risk
-$11.60
Expected figures are probability-weighted from our historical pattern database; Trade R:R is measured from the entry, target and stop levels.
Current Setup
Goldman Sachs has formed an ascending triangle pattern with resistance at $930.35 and support at $876.45 following strong Q3 2026 results reported October 13, posting $17.01 EPS and 18.7% annualized ROE. The pattern quality scores 76 overall with strong structure (15), breakout (13), and volume (12) components. Current price sits at $925.17, just 5 points below resistance, with RSI at 54.21 indicating neutral momentum. Bollinger Band position of 1.167 shows slight upside drift. The measured move target is $970.86, requiring only a 5-point breakout to trigger the pattern.
Stock Context
Goldman Sachs beat analyst expectations on both earnings and revenue in Q3 2026, reporting EPS of $17.01 versus the $12.86 consensus estimate, while revenue of $18.68 billion topped estimates by $1.85 billion. Revenue increased 23.0% year over year. Goldman Sachs blew past estimates for revenue and earnings per share, led by strong equities trading. The company returned $4.49 billion of capital to common shareholders during the third quarter, including $3.00 billion in common-share repurchases and $1.49 billion in common-stock dividends. This outperformance in capital markets activity has driven the stock higher, with the pattern forming just 16 days post-earnings. Both the broader market and financial sector display bullish regimes (0.9 scores), providing favorable tailwinds for this setup.
What to Expect
A successful breakout above $930.35 resistance would target the conservative measure of $970.86, representing a 4.9% move from current levels. Volume confirmation remains critical—current volume at 1.9M shares is 0.82x the 20-day average, suggesting breakout strength depends on volume expansion above 2.3M shares. The win probability of 56.85% indicates the pattern is slightly favorable but not highly reliable. Invalidation occurs decisively below support at $876.45, which represents a 5.2% downside risk. The ascending triangle structure suggests consolidation ahead of directional conviction; breakout timing remains uncertain given moderate volume currently.
Risk Factors
Goldman Sachs CEO sees growing risks in financing AI infrastructure. Beta of 1.96 indicates double-market volatility, amplifying swing risk. Elevated 20-day volatility at 20.86% suggests sharp reversals remain possible despite positive recent earnings. Volume below average (0.82x) signals weak participation—breakout without volume surge could fail. The stock is down 9.28% over three months and trades 19.43% below its 52-week high, suggesting earlier momentum has stalled. Quarterly non-compensation expenses rose 30% year over year, and provisions for credit losses increased to $368 million due to portfolio growth and several idiosyncratic impairments, creating expense pressure headwinds. Next earnings not due until January 19, 2027, leaving extended period without catalyst confirmation.
Sources:
Goldman Sachs Reports 2026 Third Quarter Earnings Per Common Share of $17.01 and Annualized Return on Common Equity of 18.7%
·
The Goldman Sachs Group (GS) Q3 2026 Earnings Results & Call Transcript
·
Goldman Sachs (GS) Earnings Date & Report - Investing.com
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Bank earnings October 2026: JPMorgan, Goldman, Wells Fargo, Citigroup
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GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP ($GS) Releases Q3 2026 Earnings
·
Goldman Sachs (GS) Earnings: Latest Report, Earnings Call & Financials
·
Goldman Sachs (GS) Q3 2026 Earnings: Testing Momentum After a Record Quarter
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Goldman Sachs reports third-quarter earnings: what it means for Goldman Sachs stock
·
goldman sachs q3 2025 earnings what to expect
How We Find and Score This Setup
We scan more than 6,000 NYSE and NASDAQ stocks every trading day and compare each detected pattern against a database of 370,000+ historical detections. Every setup is scored across three dimensions: Structure, Volume, and Breakout Readiness. Win probability is a calibrated estimate of how similar historical setups performed over the following 10 trading days. This is a swing trading tool built for multi-day holds. It is not built or tested for day trading.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is GS a good swing trade?
GS scored 76 out of 98 on our ascending triangle scan, with a 57% historical win probability over a 2-7 trading days hold. Good setup based on our systematic scoring.
What is the entry, target, and stop loss for this setup?
The setup's reference price is $925.17, with a conservative target of $970.86 and a stop loss at $858.29.
What would invalidate this ascending triangle setup?
A close below the stop loss at $858.29 would invalidate the setup and suggest the pattern has failed.
How is the win probability calculated?
Win probability is a calibrated estimate of how similar historical ascending triangle setups performed over the following 10 trading days, drawn from a database of 370,000+ historical pattern detections across 6,000+ NYSE and NASDAQ stocks.
Market & Sector Regime
Market
Bullish
0.90
-1.0
0
+1.0
Finance Sector
Bullish
0.90
-1.0
0
+1.0
Overall Score
40
of 40
Pattern Quality
12
of 20
Setup
9
of 20
R/R
15
of 18
Context
Pattern Quality Score
15
of 15
Structure
13
of 13
Breakout
12
of 12
Volume
Recent Performance
Momentum & Trend
RSI (14)
54.2
Neutral
MACD Histogram
+6.78
Strong Bullish
Bollinger Band Position
116.7%
Upper Band
Volatility & Risk
20-Day Volatility
0.21
Moderate
ATR %
2.7%
Medium
Beta
1.96
High Beta
Volume Analysis
Volume Ratio
0.82x
Average
20-Day Avg Vol
2.3M
shares / day
Current Volume
1.9M
shares traded
Price Levels
52W High
$1148.28
Target
$970.86
Resistance
$930.35
Current
$925.17
Support
$876.45
Stop Loss
$858.29
52W Low
$739.54
Disclaimer: This analysis is algorithmically generated for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past pattern performance does not guarantee future results. Win probabilities are based on historical data across 370,000+ observations. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor. AI-assisted contextual analysis by Claude (Anthropic). Indicators reflect values at time of detection.