Swing Trading Plan
Holding Period
2-7 trading days
Expected figures are probability-weighted from our historical pattern database; Trade R:R is measured from the entry, target and stop levels.
Current Setup
HURN is forming a rounding bottom pattern with an overall pattern quality score of 77/98, driven by excellent structure (15/15), solid breakout potential (12/13), and strong volume confirmation (12/12). The stock sits at $162.15, well positioned between key support at $84.88 and resistance at $185.58. Current price stands 91% above the 52-week low but 13% below the 52-week high, suggesting recovery momentum. RSI at 57.9 shows neutral momentum—not overbought—while positive MACD histogram (0.1606) confirms upward momentum. The pattern reflects a technical foundation for continuation with 71.6% win probability.
Stock Context
Huron delivered record Q2 2026 results with 16% revenue growth, margin expansion, and raised full-year 2026 guidance. Revenues before reimbursable expenses increased 15.7% to a record $465.6 million in Q2 2026 from $402.5 million in Q2 2025. The company beat earnings expectations with Q2 EPS of $2.46 versus $2.17 expected, a 13.36% beat. Four research analysts rate the stock as Buy and two assign Hold ratings. However, FY 2026 EPS guidance stands at $9.00-$9.40, and the stock has gained 62% over three months, with next earnings scheduled for October 27, 2026. The pattern is forming post-earnings strength and raised guidance.
What to Expect
A successful breakout above resistance at $185.58 would target $171.30 (conservative measured move), with the pattern invalidated on a close below support at $84.88—representing significant upside room relative to the entry level. Volume at 269,904 shares (1.07x average) shows adequate but not exceptional conviction; stronger volume above $185 would confirm breakout integrity. The 71.57% win probability suggests favorable historical odds for rounding bottom patterns with this quality score. Expect continuation likely to test 52-week highs and resistance areas as institutional money follows improved fundamentals.
Risk Factors
Near-term risk: Q3 2026 earnings release on October 27, 2026 creates event risk—volatility could spike around this date. Insider Kyle Featherstone sold 459 shares at $152.67 in late July, a 30.42% reduction of his position, and a director filed Form 144 on October 2 for a $13.8K share sale, suggesting some insider supply. The sector regime is bearish (-0.56 score) while market is bullish, creating cross-current headwinds. The unusual negative beta of -1.26 indicates inverse correlation to broad market—rising market volatility could pressure HURN. Elevated 20-day volatility at 41.36% and ATR at 5.29 signal price swings; Consumer Discretionary sector weakness may weigh on consulting demand if economic data deteriorates.
How We Find and Score This Setup
We scan more than 6,000 NYSE and NASDAQ stocks every trading day and compare each detected pattern against a database of 370,000+ historical detections. Every setup is scored across three dimensions: Structure, Volume, and Breakout Readiness. Win probability is a calibrated estimate of how similar historical setups performed over the following 10 trading days. This is a swing trading tool built for multi-day holds. It is not built or tested for day trading.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is HURN a good swing trade?
HURN scored 77 out of 98 on our rounding bottom scan, with a 72% historical win probability over a 2-7 trading days hold. Good setup based on our systematic scoring.
What is the entry, target, and stop loss for this setup?
The setup's reference price is $162.15, with a conservative target of $171.30 and a stop loss at $153.73.
What would invalidate this rounding bottom setup?
A close below the stop loss at $153.73 would invalidate the setup and suggest the pattern has failed.
How is the win probability calculated?
Win probability is a calibrated estimate of how similar historical rounding bottom setups performed over the following 10 trading days, drawn from a database of 370,000+ historical pattern detections across 6,000+ NYSE and NASDAQ stocks.