Swing Trading Plan
Holding Period
3-12 trading days
Expected figures are probability-weighted from our historical pattern database; Trade R:R is measured from the entry, target and stop levels.
Current Setup
Coca-Cola is forming a three white soldiers pattern following a moderately strong bull flag that formed October 5-24. The setup shows three consecutive up days consolidating near resistance at $96.26, with the stock currently at $95.83. Pattern quality scores are solid: structure (15.0/15), volume (12.0/12), and breakout (10.83/13) suggest an orderly advance with good participation. At 65.34% win probability and 76.83 overall score, this is a respectable setup. Key support sits at $85.13 providing a 10.70-point buffer. Elevated volume ratio (1.36x average) confirms the three soldiers formation. The pattern targets $100.66 conservatively.
Stock Context
Coca-Cola reported strong Q3 2026 results on October 27 with 5% volume growth and 7% organic revenue expansion, immediately preceding this pattern. Management raised full-year guidance expecting at least 5% organic revenue growth and 11% comparable earnings per share growth for 2026. A KFC partnership announced in October will shift US restaurants to Coca-Cola products starting 2027, expanding foodservice reach. The beat-and-raise earnings catalyst combined with portfolio strength from sugar-free beverages is directly fueling price momentum. However, insider selling activity shows $87.9 million in shares sold over the last three months, suggesting insiders may question valuation at current levels despite operational momentum.
What to Expect
A successful breakout above $96.26 resistance with volume confirmation would target the conservative measure of $100.66, representing a 5% gain from current levels. The three white soldiers pattern historically shows strong follow-through when formed on elevated volume after earnings catalysts—exactly this setup's condition. The 65.34% win probability aligns with typical three soldier breakout rates. Failure occurs below $85.13 support, which would invalidate the entire bull flag-to-three-soldiers progression. Volume should remain above 1.3x average on any push higher to confirm institutional buying rather than retail short-covering.
Risk Factors
RSI at 67.25 sits near overbought territory (>70), suggesting limited room for acceleration without consolidation risk. Insider selling of $87.9 million signals management skepticism about valuations despite raising guidance. The pending sale of African bottling operations represents approximately 2 points of headwind for 2027 earnings, which could pressure sentiment on 2027 outlooks. The stock trades 45.42% above its 52-week low, raising pullback risk if near-term momentum breaks. With consumer staples sector in bullish regime (0.9 score) but market regime neutral (0.1 score), macro headwinds could constrain further upside despite company-specific strength.
How We Find and Score This Setup
We scan more than 6,000 NYSE and NASDAQ stocks every trading day and compare each detected pattern against a database of 370,000+ historical detections. Every setup is scored across three dimensions: Structure, Volume, and Breakout Readiness. Win probability is a calibrated estimate of how similar historical setups performed over the following 10 trading days. This is a swing trading tool built for multi-day holds. It is not built or tested for day trading.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is KO a good swing trade?
KO scored 77 out of 98 on our three white soldiers scan, with a 65% historical win probability over a 3-12 trading days hold. Good setup based on our systematic scoring.
What is the entry, target, and stop loss for this setup?
The setup's reference price is $95.83, with a conservative target of $100.66 and a stop loss at $93.83.
What would invalidate this three white soldiers setup?
A close below the stop loss at $93.83 would invalidate the setup and suggest the pattern has failed.
How is the win probability calculated?
Win probability is a calibrated estimate of how similar historical three white soldiers setups performed over the following 10 trading days, drawn from a database of 370,000+ historical pattern detections across 6,000+ NYSE and NASDAQ stocks.
Market & Sector Regime
Market
Neutral
0.10
-1.0
0
+1.0
Consumer Staples Sector
Bullish
0.90
-1.0
0
+1.0
Other Patterns Detected Today
Bull Flag
19 days in pattern
Moderate
27.1