MMYT: Bull Flag detected on 15 Apr 2026
All prices, scores, and news on this page reflect data available before market open on .
Overall Score
83
of 100
Strong
Win Probability
62%
Moderate
Reward / Risk
0.1
: 1
$0.05 reward
$-0.87 risk
Current Setup
MMYT is forming a bull flag pattern with a score of 83/98, indicating solid structural quality (15/15) and strong breakout potential (13/13). The stock trades at $44.62, consolidating near key resistance at $44.81 after a 22.68% two-week rally. Volume is slightly below average (0.88 relative), but the MACD histogram is positive at 1.13, supporting upward momentum. The flag sits 60.81% below its 52-week high, suggesting substantial unfinished business. RSI at 52.19 shows no overbought condition, leaving room for continuation.
Stock Context
MakeMyTrip (MMYT) operates in the Indian travel services market, a cyclical segment benefiting from post-pandemic travel recovery. The Consumer Discretionary sector is in a bullish regime (0.61 score), aligned with improving consumer spending in emerging markets. The stock's 36.58% gain from its 52-week low indicates institutional accumulation into travel-reopening themes. Recent strength suggests positive sentiment around domestic and international travel demand in India, though the stock remains significantly depressed from historical peaks, indicating either sector-wide pressure or company-specific headwinds that have recently reversed.
What to Expect
A successful bull flag breakout would require a close above $44.81 on volume exceeding the 20-day average of 1.87M shares, targeting the conservative price objective of $46.09—a 3.3% move representing the measured move upper bound. The 62.41% win probability reflects historical reliability of this pattern structure. Invalidation occurs decisively below key support at $39.96, representing a 10.4% downside risk. The pattern geometry and positive MACD divergence suggest the consolidation is fuel for a continuation move higher into earnings or positive sector catalysts.
Risk Factors
The one-month return of -1.93% masks three-month weakness of -43.25%, signaling MMYT faced recent fundamental or sector pressures despite the latest bounce. Volatility at 76.37% (elevated but beta of 0.75 is defensive) suggests headline sensitivity. No specific catalyst dates are currently visible from public filings, but travel stocks face macro risks: economic slowdown in India, rupee weakness, fuel cost inflation, and competitive pricing pressure from aggregator platforms. Volume is below average (0.88 ratio), suggesting the breakout lacks robust participation; failure to attract volume on an upside move would negate the pattern's reliability. The 60% gap from 52-week highs indicates significant structural damage unresolved.
Market & Sector Regime
Market
Bullish
0.87
-1.0
0
+1.0
Consumer Discretionary Sector
Bullish
0.61
-1.0
0
+1.0
Overall Score
40
of 40
Pattern Quality
18
of 20
Setup
11
of 20
R/R
14
of 18
Context
Pattern Quality Score
15
of 15
Structure
13
of 13
Breakout
12
of 12
Volume
Recent Performance
Momentum & Trend
RSI (14)
52.2
Neutral
MACD Histogram
+1.13
Strong Bullish
Bollinger Band Position
89.7%
Upper Zone
Volatility & Risk
20-Day Volatility
0.76
Very High
ATR %
7.1%
High
Beta
0.75
Below Mkt
Volume Analysis
Volume Ratio
0.87x
Average
20-Day Avg Vol
1.9M
shares / day
Current Volume
1.6M
shares traded
Price Levels
52W High
$113.86
Target
$46.09
Resistance
$44.81
Current
$44.62
Stop Loss
$41.94
Support
$39.96
52W Low
$32.67
Disclaimer: This analysis is algorithmically generated for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past pattern performance does not guarantee future results. Win probabilities are based on historical data across 370,000+ observations. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor. AI-assisted contextual analysis by Claude (Anthropic). Indicators reflect values at time of detection.