MMYT: Bull Flag detected on 7 Jul 2026

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On 7 Jul 2026, our scan flagged MMYT as a bull flag setup scoring 83 out of 98 (Strong tier), with a 73% win probability based on our historical pattern database and a 1.9 to 1 reward to risk ratio. This is a swing trade setup: win probability reflects a 10 trading day hold, not an intraday move. At $57.35, the conservative target is $59.24 with a stop at $54.20.

Overall Score
83 of 98
Strong
Win Probability
73%
High
Reward / Risk
1.9 : 1
$0.91 reward $-0.47 risk
Swing Trading Plan
Entry
$57.35
Target
$59.24
Stop Loss
$54.20
Holding Period
Up to 10 trading days
Win Probability
73%
Current Setup
MakeMyTrip has entered the Gulf market and launched new segments offering travel solutions to corporates, employees, and travel agents. A bull flag is forming with the stock at $57.35, positioned between support at $52.01 and resistance at $55.15. The pattern quality score of 82.7 reflects solid structure (15.0) and breakout potential (11.8), though volume confirmation is moderate at 9.9. The setup suggests a measured move target to $59.24, representing a conservative 3.3% advance. Win probability of 72.89% indicates favorable odds for breakout completion.
Stock Context
Citi analyst Vijit Jain cut the firm's price target on MakeMyTrip to $70 from $80 on May 20, 2026, while keeping a "Buy" rating. The Q4 quarter was impacted by the West Asia conflict, which weighed on westbound international travel and pushed up domestic airfares. Revenue for the year grew to US$1,043.99 million, but net income fell to US$51.8 million from US$95.1 million, and profit margins compressed. In early June 2026, rumors surfaced that Yatra's founders were exploring a sale of a controlling stake, signaling sector consolidation chatter. Despite margin pressure, analyst bulls maintain coverage, suggesting confidence in long-term travel platform growth recovery.
What to Expect
A successful breakout above resistance at $55.15 would target the conservative measure of $59.24, representing a 3.3% move on breakout completion. The bull flag structure suggests sustained volume confirmation should accompany the breach; a volume ratio near 0.71 relative to the 20-day average may need to expand during breakout. Invalidation occurs below key support at $52.01, a 9.3% downside risk. The 72.89% win probability reflects favorable pattern setup, though near-term execution depends on travel demand recovery outpacing geopolitical uncertainty.
Risk Factors
The company is predicted to post an EPS of $0.1, indicating a 76.19% decline compared to the equivalent quarter last year, with revenue up only 0.7% from the prior-year quarter. MakeMyTrip carries a Zacks Rank of #5 (Strong Sell). The RSI reading of 71.82 signals overbought conditions, increasing pullback risk. The biggest immediate risk remains margin pressure from competition and high marketing and tech spending. Recent analyst target cuts reflect downward estimate revisions and geopolitical headwinds affecting international bookings. Current volume at 964K shares trails the 20-day average of 1.35M, indicating weak participation during the rally—a potential warning sign for breakout conviction.
How We Find and Score This Setup
We scan more than 6,000 NYSE and NASDAQ stocks every trading day and compare each detected pattern against a database of 370,000+ historical detections. Every setup is scored across three dimensions: Structure, Volume, and Breakout Readiness. Win probability is a calibrated estimate of how similar historical setups performed over the following 10 trading days. This is a swing trading tool built for multi-day holds. It is not built or tested for day trading.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is MMYT a good swing trade?
MMYT scored 83 out of 98 on our bull flag scan, with a 73% historical win probability over the standard 10 trading day hold. Strong setup based on our systematic scoring.
What is the entry, target, and stop loss for this setup?
The setup's reference price is $57.35, with a conservative target of $59.24 and a stop loss at $54.20.
What would invalidate this bull flag setup?
A close below the stop loss at $54.20 would invalidate the setup and suggest the pattern has failed.
How is the win probability calculated?
Win probability is a calibrated estimate of how similar historical bull flag setups performed over the following 10 trading days, drawn from a database of 370,000+ historical pattern detections across 6,000+ NYSE and NASDAQ stocks.
Market & Sector Regime
Market
Bullish 0.45
-1.0 0 +1.0
Consumer Discretionary Sector
Bullish 0.90
-1.0 0 +1.0
Other Patterns Detected Today
Bullish Pennant
29 days in pattern
Weak 25.0
Overall Score
37 of 40
Exceptional
Pattern Quality
20 of 20
Exceptional
Setup
13 of 20
Moderate
R/R
13 of 18
Good
Context
Pattern Quality Score
15 of 15
Exceptional
Structure
12 of 13
Exceptional
Breakout
10 of 12
Strong
Volume
Recent Performance
+7.4%
1W
+22.8%
2W
+29.2%
1M
+44.0%
3M
Momentum & Trend
RSI (14)
71.8
Overbought
MACD Histogram
+1.13
Strong Bullish
Bollinger Band Position
87.8%
Upper Zone
Volatility & Risk
20-Day Volatility
0.67
Very High
ATR %
5.1%
High
Beta
0.74
Below Mkt
Volume Analysis
Volume Ratio
0.71x
Below Avg
20-Day Avg Vol
1.4M
shares / day
Current Volume
964K
shares traded
Price Levels
52W High
$105.00
Target
$59.24
Current
$57.35
Resistance
$55.15
Stop Loss
$54.20
Support
$52.01
52W Low
$32.67
Disclaimer: This analysis is algorithmically generated for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past pattern performance does not guarantee future results. Win probabilities are based on historical data across 370,000+ observations. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor. AI-assisted contextual analysis by Claude (Anthropic). Indicators reflect values at time of detection.