NTLA: Bull Flag detected on 7 Jul 2026
All prices, scores, and news on this page reflect data available before market open on .
Browse all Bull Flag detections →On 7 Jul 2026, our scan flagged NTLA as a bull flag setup scoring 84 out of 98 (Strong tier), with a 75% win probability based on our historical pattern database and a 2.4 to 1 reward to risk ratio. This is a swing trade setup: win probability reflects a 10 trading day hold, not an intraday move. At $17.84, the conservative target is $18.43 with a stop at $16.86.
Overall Score
84
of 98
Strong
Win Probability
75%
High
Reward / Risk
2.4
: 1
$0.31 reward
$-0.13 risk
Swing Trading Plan
Entry
$17.84
Target
$18.43
Stop Loss
$16.86
Holding Period
Up to 10 trading days
Win Probability
75%
Current Setup
NTLA has formed a bull flag pattern following a sharp rally, consolidating between $16.00 support and $17.18 resistance near the $17.84 level. The structure scores a solid 15.0/15, indicating clean flag geometry, while the 10.5/13 breakout score reflects some caution on follow-through momentum. Volume at 3.8M shares is only 58% of the 20-day average, suggesting the flag is contracting on lighter activity—typical flag behavior. The 83.5/98 overall score and 75.45% win probability indicate a high-probability setup, though the RSI at 70.63 signals overbought conditions that warrant attention.
Stock Context
Intellia Therapeutics is a clinical-stage CRISPR gene-editing company focused on in vivo therapeutics. Recent biotech sector strength has lifted NTLA 37% in one month and 124% from its 52-week low, outpacing the broader Healthcare regime (bullish at 0.87). The stock trades 36.85% below its 52-week high, indicating room for recovery. A beta of 1.41 amplifies both upside and downside moves typical of early-stage biotech. No major earnings catalysts or regulatory announcements were identified in recent news cycle, suggesting the current rally is driven by sector tailwinds and positive momentum rather than company-specific news. The pattern formed during a period of broad biotech optimism.
What to Expect
A successful breakout above $17.18 resistance would target $18.43 (the conservative measured move), representing a 3.3% gain from current price. Volume confirmation is critical—the flag's breakout needs to exceed the 6.65M share 20-day average to validate the move, as current volume of 3.8M is notably weak. The pattern invalidates decisively below the $16.00 support level, where the flag's lower trendline anchors. Historical bull flag data supports the 75.45% win probability, but overbought RSI conditions suggest breakout confirmation must be clean and volume-supported to avoid a false breakout or pullback.
Risk Factors
RSI at 70.63 indicates overbought conditions—a significant red flag in early-stage biotech stocks prone to sharp reversals. The stock is 36.85% below its 52-week high, suggesting distribution pressure at higher levels. Volume has dried up to only 58% of average, indicating weak participation that could evaporate on a failed breakout. Beta of 1.41 magnifies downside risk in a sector correction. Biotech sector volatility at 0.9802 (98% annualized) is elevated, and NTLA's 7.51% ATR as a percentage of price reflects high intraday swings. No identified near-term catalysts exist, meaning the setup relies entirely on technical momentum—a vulnerable position if sentiment shifts. Early-stage biotech is vulnerable to clinical trial delays, regulatory setbacks, or capital market conditions deteriorating.
How We Find and Score This Setup
We scan more than 6,000 NYSE and NASDAQ stocks every trading day and compare each detected pattern against a database of 370,000+ historical detections. Every setup is scored across three dimensions: Structure, Volume, and Breakout Readiness. Win probability is a calibrated estimate of how similar historical setups performed over the following 10 trading days. This is a swing trading tool built for multi-day holds. It is not built or tested for day trading.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is NTLA a good swing trade?
NTLA scored 84 out of 98 on our bull flag scan, with a 75% historical win probability over the standard 10 trading day hold. Strong setup based on our systematic scoring.
What is the entry, target, and stop loss for this setup?
The setup's reference price is $17.84, with a conservative target of $18.43 and a stop loss at $16.86.
What would invalidate this bull flag setup?
A close below the stop loss at $16.86 would invalidate the setup and suggest the pattern has failed.
How is the win probability calculated?
Win probability is a calibrated estimate of how similar historical bull flag setups performed over the following 10 trading days, drawn from a database of 370,000+ historical pattern detections across 6,000+ NYSE and NASDAQ stocks.
Market & Sector Regime
Market
Bullish
0.45
-1.0
0
+1.0
Health Care Sector
Bullish
0.87
-1.0
0
+1.0
Other Patterns Detected Today
Bullish Engulfing
2 days in pattern
Weak
23.0
Overall Score
37
of 40
Pattern Quality
20
of 20
Setup
13
of 20
R/R
13
of 18
Context
Pattern Quality Score
15
of 15
Structure
10
of 13
Breakout
12
of 12
Volume
Recent Performance
Momentum & Trend
RSI (14)
70.6
Overbought
MACD Histogram
+0.26
Bullish
Bollinger Band Position
87.4%
Upper Zone
Volatility & Risk
20-Day Volatility
0.98
Very High
ATR %
7.5%
High
Beta
1.41
Above Mkt
Volume Analysis
Volume Ratio
0.58x
Below Avg
20-Day Avg Vol
6.7M
shares / day
Current Volume
3.8M
shares traded
Price Levels
52W High
$28.25
Target
$18.43
Current
$17.84
Resistance
$17.18
Stop Loss
$16.86
Support
$16.00
52W Low
$7.95
Disclaimer: This analysis is algorithmically generated for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past pattern performance does not guarantee future results. Win probabilities are based on historical data across 370,000+ observations. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor. AI-assisted contextual analysis by Claude (Anthropic). Indicators reflect values at time of detection.