PL: Bull Flag detected on 14 May 2026

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On 14 May 2026, our scan flagged PL as a bull flag setup scoring 84 out of 98 (Strong tier), with a 76% win probability based on our historical pattern database and a 2.5 to 1 reward to risk ratio. This is a swing trade setup: win probability reflects a 10 trading day hold, not an intraday move. At $40.74, the conservative target is $42.08 with a stop at $38.50.

Overall Score
84 of 98
Strong
Win Probability
76%
High
Reward / Risk
2.5 : 1
$0.73 reward $-0.29 risk
Swing Trading Plan
Entry
$40.74
Target
$42.08
Stop Loss
$38.50
Holding Period
Up to 10 trading days
Win Probability
76%
Current Setup
Planet Labs is forming a bull flag pattern with robust technical structure. At $40.74 current price, the stock sits just below key resistance at $41.71 (the recent all-time high), with strong support at $32.57. The pattern quality scores 37.6 overall (structure 14.4/15, volume 12.0/12, breakout 11.2/13), reflecting tight consolidation and clean micro-structure. RSI at 58.93 shows balanced momentum—not overbought—while volume at 8.7M shares runs 0.86x average, suggesting institutional accumulation during the flag. A breakout above resistance would confirm the bull flag and target $42.08 conservatively.
Stock Context
PL has delivered exceptional momentum fueled by concrete catalysts. Over three months, the stock gained 88.18% driven by multiple contract wins: Planet Labs secured a significant two-year contract with the Greek government to provide satellite imagery and data services, and on May 13, 2026, Planet Labs announced its subsidiary entered into a significant two-year contract with the Czech Republic. The company posted 26% revenue growth with impressive gross profit margins of 56%. Additionally, on April 30, Planet Labs announced plans to develop a specialized version of its Tanager spacecraft with Carbon Mapper focusing on shortwave infrared sensing with five times the area coverage. Planet raised about $104.5 million from warrant redemption exercises, strengthening its balance sheet. The company's government and commercial pipelines are expanding visibly, making this pattern formation timely.
What to Expect
A successful bull flag breakout would confirm continuation above the $41.71 all-time high, targeting $42.08 conservatively (39 bps above resistance). Higher targets could extend toward $44-45 if volume expands meaningfully above the average 10M share threshold. Volume confirmation is critical—a breakout on above-average volume (>10-11M shares) would validate institutional accumulation. The setup fails if price closes below support at $32.57, which would erase the flag structure and negate the 75.77% win probability. Historical flag breakouts in this sector show 3-5% moves typical over 2-4 weeks post-confirmation.
Risk Factors
Valuation concerns persist despite the rally. InvestingPro analysis suggests the stock may be overvalued at current levels, and the company has a price-to-sales ratio of 38.96, suggesting the stock may be overvalued compared to its sales performance. Profitability remains weak: the company remains unprofitable with a loss of $0.80 per share over the last twelve months, and it faces challenges in profitability with a low Profitability Rank of 2/10. High beta at 1.62 amplifies drawdown risk during market corrections. Volume running below average (0.86x) during flag formation suggests thin conviction—a break below $32.57 could accelerate sharply. No major earnings announcement appears imminent, but macro weakness in defense spending or commercial satellite demand would undermine government contract momentum. Watch for insider selling, which could signal management skepticism about valuation.
How We Find and Score This Setup
We scan more than 6,000 NYSE and NASDAQ stocks every trading day and compare each detected pattern against a database of 370,000+ historical detections. Every setup is scored across three dimensions: Structure, Volume, and Breakout Readiness. Win probability is a calibrated estimate of how similar historical setups performed over the following 10 trading days. This is a swing trading tool built for multi-day holds. It is not built or tested for day trading.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PL a good swing trade?
PL scored 84 out of 98 on our bull flag scan, with a 76% historical win probability over the standard 10 trading day hold. Strong setup based on our systematic scoring.
What is the entry, target, and stop loss for this setup?
The setup's reference price is $40.74, with a conservative target of $42.08 and a stop loss at $38.50.
What would invalidate this bull flag setup?
A close below the stop loss at $38.50 would invalidate the setup and suggest the pattern has failed.
How is the win probability calculated?
Win probability is a calibrated estimate of how similar historical bull flag setups performed over the following 10 trading days, drawn from a database of 370,000+ historical pattern detections across 6,000+ NYSE and NASDAQ stocks.
Market & Sector Regime
Market
Bullish 0.60
-1.0 0 +1.0
Technology Sector
Bullish 0.76
-1.0 0 +1.0
Overall Score
37 of 40
Exceptional
Pattern Quality
20 of 20
Exceptional
Setup
13 of 20
Moderate
R/R
13 of 18
Good
Context
Pattern Quality Score
14 of 15
Exceptional
Structure
11 of 13
Strong
Breakout
12 of 12
Exceptional
Volume
Recent Performance
+2.6%
1W
+19.5%
2W
+20.1%
1M
+88.2%
3M
Momentum & Trend
RSI (14)
58.9
Neutral
MACD Histogram
+0.13
Bullish
Bollinger Band Position
82.8%
Upper Zone
Volatility & Risk
20-Day Volatility
1.03
Very High
ATR %
8.8%
High
Beta
1.62
High Beta
Volume Analysis
Volume Ratio
0.86x
Average
20-Day Avg Vol
10.1M
shares / day
Current Volume
8.7M
shares traded
Price Levels
52W High
$43.12
Target
$42.08
Resistance
$41.71
Current
$40.74
Stop Loss
$38.50
Support
$32.57
52W Low
$3.29
Disclaimer: This analysis is algorithmically generated for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past pattern performance does not guarantee future results. Win probabilities are based on historical data across 370,000+ observations. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor. AI-assisted contextual analysis by Claude (Anthropic). Indicators reflect values at time of detection.