SSB: Falling Wedge detected on 29 Sep 2026

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On 29 Sep 2026, our scan flagged SSB as a falling wedge setup scoring 62 out of 98 (Moderate tier), with a 77% win probability based on our historical pattern database and a 1.44 to 1 risk to reward profile from the published levels. This is a swing trade setup: win probability reflects a multi-day swing hold, not an intraday move. At $101.69, the conservative target is $107.84 with a stop at $97.43.

Overall Score
62 of 98
Moderate
Win Probability
77%
High
Trade R:R
1.44 : 1
$6.15 to target $4.26 to stop
Swing Trading Plan
Entry
$101.69
Target
$107.84
Stop Loss
$97.43
Holding Period
1-7 trading days
Expected Return
+$3.66
Exp. Reward
+$3.95
Exp. Risk
-$0.29

Expected figures are probability-weighted from our historical pattern database; Trade R:R is measured from the entry, target and stop levels.

Current Setup
SSB is forming a falling wedge pattern with a structure score of 15.0/15, indicating a high-quality converging price formation. The stock currently trades at $101.69, bounded by key support at $100.60 and resistance at $103.72. Volume has been below average (ratio: 0.83), which is a notable weakness for confirming a breakout (breakout score: 13.0/13, volume score: 8.0/12). The overall setup scores 62.0/98, with a win probability of 76.94%. The measured move target stands at $107.84, representing a 5.9% upside from current price levels.
Stock Context
SouthState reported Q2 2026 net income of $230 million with diluted EPS of $2.35, up 11% year-over-year. Net interest income rose 3% from the prior quarter to $576 million with a stable net interest margin of 3.78%. Loans grew $1.4 billion sequentially and $3.6 billion year-over-year, while deposits increased $474 million and $2.7 billion respectively. Over the past year, the company retired nearly 5% of share count and raised its dividend by 11%. Analysts raised price targets in late July 2026, with Truist raising SSB to $118 and TD Cowen to $120. The pattern forms on positive earnings momentum and capital allocation execution, though recent price action—down 4.11% over one month—suggests profit-taking after the July earnings beat.
What to Expect
A successful breakout above $103.72 resistance would target $107.84 conservatively, with potential for extension toward the $120 analyst price targets if volume participation improves. The pattern's 76.94% historical win probability favors upside. Volume confirmation is critical; current volume ratio of 0.83 below the 20-day average suggests the wedge requires above-average volume to validate the breakout. The invalidation level sits at $100.60, the key support—closure below this level would negate the pattern and signal weakness.
Risk Factors
Key risks include depressed near-term volume (ratio 0.83), which could delay or fail the breakout despite strong pattern structure. The finance sector operates in a bearish regime (score: -0.17), creating macro headwinds. RSI at 35.44 shows oversold conditions, which can reverse sharply on bad news. Next earnings announcement will occur in Q3 (likely October/November 2026), and the banking sector remains sensitive to interest rate policy. The stock is 9.37% below its 52-week high, suggesting potential resistance from elevated entries. Beta of 0.83 provides defensive characteristics but limits upside in bullish rallies.
How We Find and Score This Setup
We scan more than 6,000 NYSE and NASDAQ stocks every trading day and compare each detected pattern against a database of 370,000+ historical detections. Every setup is scored across three dimensions: Structure, Volume, and Breakout Readiness. Win probability is a calibrated estimate of how similar historical setups performed over the following 10 trading days. This is a swing trading tool built for multi-day holds. It is not built or tested for day trading.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SSB a good swing trade?
SSB scored 62 out of 98 on our falling wedge scan, with a 77% historical win probability over a 1-7 trading days hold. Moderate setup based on our systematic scoring.
What is the entry, target, and stop loss for this setup?
The setup's reference price is $101.69, with a conservative target of $107.84 and a stop loss at $97.43.
What would invalidate this falling wedge setup?
A close below the stop loss at $97.43 would invalidate the setup and suggest the pattern has failed.
How is the win probability calculated?
Win probability is a calibrated estimate of how similar historical falling wedge setups performed over the following 10 trading days, drawn from a database of 370,000+ historical pattern detections across 6,000+ NYSE and NASDAQ stocks.
Market & Sector Regime
Market
Neutral -0.15
-1.0 0 +1.0
Finance Sector
Bearish -0.18
-1.0 0 +1.0
Overall Score
36 of 40
Exceptional
Pattern Quality
2 of 20
Weak
Setup
17 of 20
Strong
R/R
7 of 18
Weak
Context
Pattern Quality Score
15 of 15
Exceptional
Structure
13 of 13
Exceptional
Breakout
8 of 12
Moderate
Volume
Recent Performance
-1.4%
1W
-4.2%
2W
-4.1%
1M
+2.3%
3M
Momentum & Trend
RSI (14)
35.4
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-0.36
Bearish
Bollinger Band Position
13.8%
Lower Zone
Volatility & Risk
20-Day Volatility
0.14
Low
ATR %
1.7%
Low
Beta
0.83
Market
Volume Analysis
Volume Ratio
0.83x
Average
20-Day Avg Vol
666K
shares / day
Current Volume
551K
shares traded
Price Levels
52W High
$112.20
Target
$107.84
Resistance
$103.72
Current
$101.69
Support
$100.60
Stop Loss
$97.43
52W Low
$82.98
Disclaimer: This analysis is algorithmically generated for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past pattern performance does not guarantee future results. Win probabilities are based on historical data across 370,000+ observations. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor. AI-assisted contextual analysis by Claude (Anthropic). Indicators reflect values at time of detection.