SYNA: Flat Base detected on 23 Jun 2026

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On 23 Jun 2026, our scan flagged SYNA as a flat base setup scoring 75 out of 98 (Good tier), with a 63% win probability based on our historical pattern database and a 0.1 to 1 reward to risk ratio. This is a swing trade setup: win probability reflects a 10 trading day hold, not an intraday move. At $143.79, the conservative target is $150.02 with a stop at $136.51.

Overall Score
75 of 98
Good
Win Probability
63%
Moderate
Reward / Risk
0.1 : 1
$0.23 reward $-2.77 risk
Swing Trading Plan
Entry
$143.79
Target
$150.02
Stop Loss
$136.51
Holding Period
Up to 10 trading days
Win Probability
63%
Current Setup
SYNA is forming a flat base pattern near its 52-week highs, trading at $143.79 with resistance at $149.11 and support at $122.18. The structure score of 10.0 indicates a clean, well-defined base formation. Volume shows 0.61x relative strength (below average), and the breakout score of 13.0 reflects solid momentum mechanics. RSI at 59.49 suggests room to run without overbought conditions. The pattern sits 3.57% below the 52-week high, positioning it near a potential breakout zone with a measured target of $150.02.
Stock Context
SYNA has demonstrated exceptional strength over the past three months, gaining 102.44% and 10.76% in the last month alone. The semiconductor sector, where Synaptics competes in human-machine interfaces and mobile processors, has been buoyed by AI infrastructure demand and consumer electronics recovery. Recent semiconductor industry trends show strong demand for advanced touch controllers and audio processing components used in smartphones and IoT devices. The company operates in a bullish sector regime (0.47 score) and broader market remains bullish (0.51), supporting continued positive price momentum. This timing suggests the flat base is consolidating gains from a sustained uptrend rather than building from weakness.
What to Expect
A successful breakout above $149.11 resistance would target the conservative measure of $150.02 initially, with potential extension higher given the strong momentum profile. Volume confirmation is critical—the current 0.61x relative volume ratio is below average, so a successful break requires volume expansion above the 20-day average of 829,814 shares. The invalidation level sits at $122.18; a close below this support would signal pattern failure and suggest profit-taking from the extended 102% three-month rally. The 63.13% win probability indicates better-than-even odds for upside resolution.
Risk Factors
High beta of 1.91 amplifies downside risk in any market correction. Volume is currently subpar (0.61x average), meaning the breakout lacks conviction—if resistance is tested without volume surge, the pattern could stall. MACD histogram is negative at -1.0112, suggesting momentum may be weakening despite price strength. The stock has already run 102% in three months; any disappointment on earnings, guidance, or semiconductor sector weakness could trigger sharp mean reversion. Volatility at 20-day 0.8736 is elevated, increasing whipsaw risk. Watch for any guidance revisions, competitive pressures in touch/audio chips, or broader semicon sector downgrades that could break the current bullish setup.
How We Find and Score This Setup
We scan more than 6,000 NYSE and NASDAQ stocks every trading day and compare each detected pattern against a database of 370,000+ historical detections. Every setup is scored across three dimensions: Structure, Volume, and Breakout Readiness. Win probability is a calibrated estimate of how similar historical setups performed over the following 10 trading days. This is a swing trading tool built for multi-day holds. It is not built or tested for day trading.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SYNA a good swing trade?
SYNA scored 75 out of 98 on our flat base scan, with a 63% historical win probability over the standard 10 trading day hold. Good setup based on our systematic scoring.
What is the entry, target, and stop loss for this setup?
The setup's reference price is $143.79, with a conservative target of $150.02 and a stop loss at $136.51.
What would invalidate this flat base setup?
A close below the stop loss at $136.51 would invalidate the setup and suggest the pattern has failed.
How is the win probability calculated?
Win probability is a calibrated estimate of how similar historical flat base setups performed over the following 10 trading days, drawn from a database of 370,000+ historical pattern detections across 6,000+ NYSE and NASDAQ stocks.
Market & Sector Regime
Market
Bullish 0.51
-1.0 0 +1.0
Technology Sector
Bullish 0.48
-1.0 0 +1.0
Overall Score
34 of 40
Strong
Pattern Quality
18 of 20
Exceptional
Setup
11 of 20
Fair
R/R
12 of 18
Moderate
Context
Pattern Quality Score
10 of 15
Moderate
Structure
13 of 13
Exceptional
Breakout
11 of 12
Exceptional
Volume
Recent Performance
+3.9%
1W
+17.1%
2W
+10.8%
1M
+102.4%
3M
Momentum & Trend
RSI (14)
59.5
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-1.01
Strong Bearish
Bollinger Band Position
71.7%
Upper Zone
Volatility & Risk
20-Day Volatility
0.87
Very High
ATR %
6.7%
High
Beta
1.91
High Beta
Volume Analysis
Volume Ratio
0.61x
Below Avg
20-Day Avg Vol
830K
shares / day
Current Volume
508K
shares traded
Price Levels
Target
$150.02
52W High
$149.11
Resistance
$149.11
Current
$143.79
Stop Loss
$136.51
Support
$122.18
52W Low
$58.28
Disclaimer: This analysis is algorithmically generated for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past pattern performance does not guarantee future results. Win probabilities are based on historical data across 370,000+ observations. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor. AI-assisted contextual analysis by Claude (Anthropic). Indicators reflect values at time of detection.