WT: Bull Flag detected on 20 Aug 2026

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On 20 Aug 2026, our scan flagged WT as a bull flag setup scoring 78 out of 98 (Good tier), with a 76% win probability based on our historical pattern database and a 2.5 to 1 reward to risk ratio. This is a swing trade setup: win probability reflects a 10 trading day hold, not an intraday move. At $22.70, the conservative target is $23.45 with a stop at $21.45.

Overall Score
78 of 98
Good
Win Probability
76%
High
Reward / Risk
2.5 : 1
$0.40 reward $-0.16 risk
Swing Trading Plan
Entry
$22.70
Target
$23.45
Stop Loss
$21.45
Holding Period
Up to 10 trading days
Win Probability
76%
Current Setup
WisdomTree is forming a bull flag pattern following Q2 2026 earnings released July 31st, with the stock currently at $22.70 encountering key resistance at $23.29 (the 52-week high). The structure score of 14.2/15 and volume score of 12.0/12 indicate a well-formed consolidation with solid participation. The breakout score of 11.4/13 combined with an overall 77.6/98 and 75.77% win probability suggest this is a high-quality setup. Price is 3.24% below the 52-week high, and the conservative target is $23.45—minimal upside from breakout but within the technical range.
Stock Context
WisdomTree beat Q2 earnings expectations with $0.31 EPS (vs. $0.27 estimate) and revenue of $177.2M (vs. $175.9M estimate). Record AUM and strong net inflows drove double-digit revenue and EPS growth with margin expansion, while share repurchases and deleveraging enhanced capital structure. A Northland analyst recently raised price target to $26 from $22 on August 17, 2026. However, the stock outlook faces headwinds from significant net outflows of approximately $1.5 billion from commodity and currency products and ongoing withdrawals from fixed income strategies. Consensus analyst rating remains Hold per 3 analysts as of July 14, creating a mixed sentiment backdrop for the breakout attempt.
What to Expect
A successful bull flag breakout would require volume confirmation above $23.29 resistance with upside target at $23.45. The 75.77% win probability supports a higher-probability structure. Invalidation occurs at $22.56 (key support)—a close below this level would signal pattern failure. Given the high RSI of 63.91 (approaching overbought), the stock has room to extend but momentum is elevated. The measured move provides modest upside, suggesting this is more of a quick continuation play than a major rally driver.
Risk Factors
Insiders have sold heavily, with 4 sales versus only 1 purchase in the past 6 months, including a $1.93M sale by the Chief Administrative Officer. The firm's concentration in a limited number of products exposes it to volatility, exacerbated by evolving regulations and higher compliance costs with increased litigation risks. Beta of 2.11 and 20-day volatility of 52.95% indicate elevated systematic and price risk. Next earnings are scheduled for October 30, 2026, providing 71 days of time decay risk before the next catalyst. The conservative analyst price target of $20.27 is below current price, indicating potential downside despite recent earnings beat.
How We Find and Score This Setup
We scan more than 6,000 NYSE and NASDAQ stocks every trading day and compare each detected pattern against a database of 370,000+ historical detections. Every setup is scored across three dimensions: Structure, Volume, and Breakout Readiness. Win probability is a calibrated estimate of how similar historical setups performed over the following 10 trading days. This is a swing trading tool built for multi-day holds. It is not built or tested for day trading.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is WT a good swing trade?
WT scored 78 out of 98 on our bull flag scan, with a 76% historical win probability over the standard 10 trading day hold. Good setup based on our systematic scoring.
What is the entry, target, and stop loss for this setup?
The setup's reference price is $22.70, with a conservative target of $23.45 and a stop loss at $21.45.
What would invalidate this bull flag setup?
A close below the stop loss at $21.45 would invalidate the setup and suggest the pattern has failed.
How is the win probability calculated?
Win probability is a calibrated estimate of how similar historical bull flag setups performed over the following 10 trading days, drawn from a database of 370,000+ historical pattern detections across 6,000+ NYSE and NASDAQ stocks.
Market & Sector Regime
Market
Bullish 0.54
-1.0 0 +1.0
Finance Sector
Bullish 0.54
-1.0 0 +1.0
Overall Score
37 of 40
Exceptional
Pattern Quality
15 of 20
Good
Setup
13 of 20
Moderate
R/R
12 of 18
Moderate
Context
Pattern Quality Score
14 of 15
Exceptional
Structure
11 of 13
Strong
Breakout
12 of 12
Exceptional
Volume
Recent Performance
-0.1%
1W
+3.2%
2W
+9.9%
1M
+20.9%
3M
Momentum & Trend
RSI (14)
63.9
Neutral
MACD Histogram
+0.10
Bullish
Bollinger Band Position
73.8%
Upper Zone
Volatility & Risk
20-Day Volatility
0.53
Very High
ATR %
4.2%
Medium
Beta
2.11
High Beta
Volume Analysis
Volume Ratio
1.04x
Average
20-Day Avg Vol
2.4M
shares / day
Current Volume
2.5M
shares traded
Price Levels
52W High
$23.46
Target
$23.45
Resistance
$23.29
Current
$22.70
Support
$22.56
Stop Loss
$21.45
52W Low
$10.64
Disclaimer: This analysis is algorithmically generated for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past pattern performance does not guarantee future results. Win probabilities are based on historical data across 370,000+ observations. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor. AI-assisted contextual analysis by Claude (Anthropic). Indicators reflect values at time of detection.