Swing Trading Plan
Holding Period
2-8 trading days
Expected figures are probability-weighted from our historical pattern database; Trade R:R is measured from the entry, target and stop levels.
Current Setup
BLK is forming a double bottom pattern with a current price of $1,120.78, positioned 23.52% above its 52-week low. Key support lies at $1,040.42 and resistance at $1,180.99. The structure score of 12.19/15 and breakout score of 13/13 indicate a well-defined pattern with strong directional clarity. Volume is notably elevated at 2.1x average (1.23M vs 587K average), reflecting institutional participation. The overall pattern quality scores 70.19/98 with a 64.58% win probability, suggesting moderate-to-good reversal potential from the double bottom lows.
Stock Context
BlackRock beat analyst expectations on both earnings and revenue on October 14, 2026, reporting adjusted EPS of $15.93 versus the $14.32 consensus estimate, on revenue of $7.75 billion. Revenue increased 19% year-over-year to $7.8 billion, operating income increased 27% to $3.3 billion, and adjusted EPS climbed 38%. BlackRock ended September 2026 with a record $15.488 trillion in assets under management, up 15.5% year-over-year. Shares rose 5% to around $1,116 early Wednesday after the earnings beat. This strong earnings catalyzed the breakout momentum observed in recent price action—the setup likely formed as the market digested record AUM growth and margin expansion ahead of the October 14 results.
What to Expect
A successful double bottom breakout would involve sustained trading above the $1,180.99 resistance level on volume equal to or exceeding the 2.1x relative volume threshold already demonstrated. The measured move target of $1,178.40 is nearly at resistance, suggesting the first target is immediate. Invalidation occurs below $1,040.42, the swing low support defining the pattern. With a 64.58% historical win probability, the setup indicates roughly two-thirds of similar patterns achieve their measured move. RSI at 61.08 shows neutral momentum—neither overbought nor exhausted—supporting additional upside potential on a breakout confirmation.
Risk Factors
The 6.1% cushion from the 52-week high ($1,190.94) limits upside room, potentially capping rallies. Elevated beta of 1.32 amplifies volatility sensitivity to broader market swings, particularly risky if macro conditions deteriorate. At 1.23M shares traded versus 587K average, volume surge will need sustaining—declining volume on any pullback could invalidate the pattern prematurely. No immediate red flags detected in recent news, but financial sector rotation risk remains: if market regimes shift away from growth/finance stocks, this pattern could fail despite technical soundness. Monitor for any reversal in fund flows or margin compression in coming quarters.
How We Find and Score This Setup
We scan more than 6,000 NYSE and NASDAQ stocks every trading day and compare each detected pattern against a database of 370,000+ historical detections. Every setup is scored across three dimensions: Structure, Volume, and Breakout Readiness. Win probability is a calibrated estimate of how similar historical setups performed over the following 10 trading days. This is a swing trading tool built for multi-day holds. It is not built or tested for day trading.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BLK a good swing trade?
BLK scored 70 out of 98 on our double bottom scan, with a 65% historical win probability over a 2-8 trading days hold. Good setup based on our systematic scoring.
What is the entry, target, and stop loss for this setup?
The setup's reference price is $1120.78, with a conservative target of $1178.40 and a stop loss at $1055.40.
What would invalidate this double bottom setup?
A close below the stop loss at $1055.40 would invalidate the setup and suggest the pattern has failed.
How is the win probability calculated?
Win probability is a calibrated estimate of how similar historical double bottom setups performed over the following 10 trading days, drawn from a database of 370,000+ historical pattern detections across 6,000+ NYSE and NASDAQ stocks.
Market & Sector Regime
Market
Bullish
0.64
-1.0
0
+1.0
Finance Sector
Bullish
0.64
-1.0
0
+1.0
Other Patterns Detected Today
Symmetrical Triangle
30 days in pattern
Good
30.0