BMI: Three White Soldiers detected on 23 Oct 2026
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Browse all Three White Soldiers detections →On 23 Oct 2026, our scan flagged BMI as a three white soldiers setup scoring 83 out of 98 (Strong tier), with a 61% win probability based on our historical pattern database and a 0.66 to 1 risk to reward profile from the published levels. This is a swing trade setup: win probability reflects a multi-day swing hold, not an intraday move. At $149.64, the conservative target is $158.69 with a stop at $135.96.
Overall Score
83
of 98
Strong
Win Probability
61%
Moderate
Trade R:R
0.66
: 1
$9.05 to target
$13.68 to stop
Swing Trading Plan
Entry
$149.64
Target
$158.69
Stop Loss
$135.96
Holding Period
1-7 trading days
Expected Return
+$2.01
Exp. Reward
+$4.61
Exp. Risk
-$2.60
Expected figures are probability-weighted from our historical pattern database; Trade R:R is measured from the entry, target and stop levels.
Current Setup
BMI is forming a three white soldiers bullish reversal pattern at $149.64, just below key resistance at $150.27. The pattern demonstrates excellent structure (score: 15/15), solid volume confirmation (12/12 at 2.84x average), but moderate breakout readiness (10.4/13). The setup sits in the middle of its 52-week range, up 34.4% from the low but still 25.8% below the high. Recent momentum is strong: +18% gain over three months. RSI at 74.3 signals overbought conditions, flagging potential near-term resistance to upside continuation.
Stock Context
Third quarter 2026 sales of $235.9 million increased modestly from the prior year's $235.7 million, marking stabilization after earlier weakness. BMI faced headwinds in Q1 2026 with total sales down 9% year-over-year and operating margin compression from 22.2% to 17.4%, triggering a significant selloff in April. Q3 revenue missed consensus by 2.8% at $235.9 million versus $242.8 million expected, yet operating margin improved to 20.2%. The company completed its UDlive acquisition in April 2026, positioning for software-driven growth. Management expects sequential and year-over-year revenue improvement in Q4 2026, suggesting demand stabilization may be fueling the recent three-month 18.8% rally.
What to Expect
A successful breakout above $150.27 resistance would target $158.69 (conservative measure), representing a 6% upside from current levels. The pattern carries a 61.4% historical win probability, suggesting moderate edge. Volume confirmation is present at 2.84x average, supporting breakout potential. The pattern would invalidate below the key support level of $122.00, a 18.5% downside risk. Invalidation would signal reversal of the nascent recovery and likely break the bullish regime (0.95 score) currently supporting the setup.
Risk Factors
RSI at 74.3 is deeply overbought, indicating potential pullback risk before sustainable upside. The Q3 revenue miss of 2.8% below consensus despite earnings meeting expectations suggests top-line deceleration remains a concern. Barclays lowered BMI's price target to $111 from $112 in mid-October, and a securities class action lawsuit was filed related to prior year demand misstatements. Industrials sector trades at bearish regime (-0.06), creating cross-current headwinds. ATR volatility of 3.76% is moderate but Beta 1.04 means BMI tracks market beta, offering no downside cushion during equity stress. Litigation overhang and analyst caution argue for reduced position sizing.
Sources:
BADGER METER INC - Form 8-K - FY2026
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BADGER METER INC - Form 8-K - FY2026
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Badger Meter, Inc. - Badger Meter Reports Third Quarter 2026 Financial Results
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Badger Meter, Inc. - Badger Meter Reports Second Quarter 2026 Financial Results
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Badger Meter, Inc. - Badger Meter Reports First Quarter 2026 Financial Results
·
Badger Meter, Inc. - Badger Meter to Webcast 2026 Investor Day
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BMI Stock Quote Price and Forecast
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Badger Meter (NYSE:BMI) Q3 2026 Revenue Miss Pressures Shares Despite In-Line EPS
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BMI Notification: Badger Meter Product Demand Issues and Corresponding 24% Stock Drop Trigger Shareholder Investigation for Securities Fraud
How We Find and Score This Setup
We scan more than 6,000 NYSE and NASDAQ stocks every trading day and compare each detected pattern against a database of 370,000+ historical detections. Every setup is scored across three dimensions: Structure, Volume, and Breakout Readiness. Win probability is a calibrated estimate of how similar historical setups performed over the following 10 trading days. This is a swing trading tool built for multi-day holds. It is not built or tested for day trading.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BMI a good swing trade?
BMI scored 83 out of 98 on our three white soldiers scan, with a 61% historical win probability over a 1-7 trading days hold. Strong setup based on our systematic scoring.
What is the entry, target, and stop loss for this setup?
The setup's reference price is $149.64, with a conservative target of $158.69 and a stop loss at $135.96.
What would invalidate this three white soldiers setup?
A close below the stop loss at $135.96 would invalidate the setup and suggest the pattern has failed.
How is the win probability calculated?
Win probability is a calibrated estimate of how similar historical three white soldiers setups performed over the following 10 trading days, drawn from a database of 370,000+ historical pattern detections across 6,000+ NYSE and NASDAQ stocks.
Market & Sector Regime
Market
Bullish
0.96
-1.0
0
+1.0
Industrials Sector
Bearish
-0.06
-1.0
0
+1.0
Overall Score
37
of 40
Pattern Quality
20
of 20
Setup
11
of 20
R/R
15
of 18
Context
Pattern Quality Score
15
of 15
Structure
10
of 13
Breakout
12
of 12
Volume
Recent Performance
Momentum & Trend
RSI (14)
74.3
Overbought
MACD Histogram
+1.48
Strong Bullish
Bollinger Band Position
143.4%
Upper Band
Volatility & Risk
20-Day Volatility
0.56
Very High
ATR %
3.8%
Medium
Beta
1.04
Market
Volume Analysis
Volume Ratio
2.84x
Very High
20-Day Avg Vol
435K
shares / day
Current Volume
1.2M
shares traded
Price Levels
52W High
$201.70
Target
$158.69
Resistance
$150.27
Current
$149.64
Stop Loss
$135.96
Support
$122.00
52W Low
$111.37
Disclaimer: This analysis is algorithmically generated for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past pattern performance does not guarantee future results. Win probabilities are based on historical data across 370,000+ observations. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor. AI-assisted contextual analysis by Claude (Anthropic). Indicators reflect values at time of detection.