BULL: Post Collapse Recovery detected on 25 Aug 2026

BULL is grinding higher over recent weeks, trading near $8.97 with a recent peak near $9.95. The post-collapse recovery pattern shows moderate-quality structure (11.81/15), breakout readiness (10.67/13), and volume confirmation (10.75/12) — totaling 69.23 overall score with 65.12% win probability. Price sits 89.56% above the 52-week low of $6.90, near key resistance at $9.95. Current volume (20.5M shares, 1.48x average) provides above-average participation. RSI at 62.79 indicates midrange momentum, not overbought. The measured move target of $8.96 sits just below recent highs, suggesting limited upside before potential consolidation.

Webull delivered Q2 2026 revenue of $198.8M (up 51%) and EPS of 12 cents, both beating expectations. Net income surged to $24.4M, showing the company has turned profitable. Customer assets grew 79% year-over-year. Trading volumes surged after PDT rule elimination, a major regulatory tailwind. Webull announced a $100M share buyback program valid for 12 months. Post-earnings, Webull introduced native AI connectors to ChatGPT, Claude and Grok directly in its platform, plus new command-line tools for power users. Analysts raised price targets from $11.67 to $12.00. Recovery is driven by profit inflection, regulatory stimulus, and competitive product upgrades.

Successful breakout targets $8.96 conservatively, with potential extension toward $9.95 resistance if volume sustains above 1.5x average. Post-collapse recoveries historically show 65% win rate once stabilization holds; this setup aligns with that probability. Invalidation occurs decisively below $6.90 support — a drop here would signal the recovery failed and mean-reversion risk. Volume confirmation is critical: sustained breakout requires relative volume above 1.3x through the resistance zone. If the pattern holds, initial target sits just 5% above current levels, offering modest risk/reward into the short-term technical ceiling.

Webull lags competitor Robinhood in growth and faces operating expense pressures despite revenue growth. Beta of 1.05 adds modest market sensitivity. While recent earnings beat is strong, the sector context shows broader Finance regime at +0.59 (bullish), yet overall market regime is bearish (-0.28), creating cross-currents. No imminent earnings catalysts; Q3 results likely in November. RSI at 62.79 is neutral but overbought could trigger pullbacks. ATR at 0.49 ($5.74% volatility) suggests sharp intraday swings remain possible. Key risks: PDT rule implementation execution, crypto market volatility exposure, and competitive pressure from established brokers; any regulatory setback could reverse momentum.

We scan more than 6,000 NYSE and NASDAQ stocks every trading day and compare each detected pattern against a database of 370,000+ historical detections. Every setup is scored across three dimensions: Structure, Volume, and Breakout Readiness. Win probability is a calibrated estimate of how similar historical setups performed over the following 10 trading days. This is a swing trading tool built for multi-day holds. It is not built or tested for day trading.