CODI: Symmetrical Triangle detected on 7 Aug 2026

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On 7 Aug 2026, our scan flagged CODI as a symmetrical triangle setup scoring 77 out of 98 (Good tier), with a 64% win probability based on our historical pattern database and a 0.6 to 1 reward to risk ratio. This is a swing trade setup: win probability reflects a 10 trading day hold, not an intraday move. At $10.77, the conservative target is $11.26 with a stop at $10.12.

Overall Score
77 of 98
Good
Win Probability
64%
Moderate
Reward / Risk
0.6 : 1
$0.09 reward $-0.16 risk
Swing Trading Plan
Entry
$10.77
Target
$11.26
Stop Loss
$10.12
Holding Period
Up to 10 trading days
Win Probability
64%
Current Setup
CODI is forming a symmetrical triangle after consolidating between 9.94 and 9.98, currently sitting at 10.77 with a breakout score of 13/15. Structure score of 10/15 indicates a moderate triangle setup, while volume of 11/12 shows relative liquidity. The pattern suggests convergence toward an apex, with the measured move target at 11.26 representing a 4.5% upside. The overall pattern quality score of 77 reflects a viable but not exceptional setup. RSI at 56.14 indicates neutral momentum—neither overbought nor oversold—supporting continued consolidation before resolution.
Stock Context
CODI is scheduled to report second quarter 2026 earnings on August 10, 2026 after market close, creating an imminent catalyst just three days from the detection date. This earnings announcement directly impacts the timing and credibility of the current consolidation pattern, as investors may be holding positions ahead of results. TD Cowen resumed coverage with a Buy rating on July 16, 2026, while an analyst called for strategic review, suggesting mixed sentiment. The company advanced settlement of its Lugano liquidation plan in June 2026, indicating ongoing portfolio restructuring. The stock's 7.16% gain over one week and modest 6.85% monthly return reflect cautious buying interest ahead of earnings, while the 3-month loss of 7.31% shows the stock is recovering from weakness.
What to Expect
A successful breakout above 9.98 resistance on above-average volume (>614,828 shares) would target the conservative measure of 11.26, representing 4.5% upside from current levels. The pattern structure suggests the apex is approaching; breakout confirmation typically requires a close above resistance with volume exceeding the 20-day average. The invalidation level sits at key support of 9.94; closure below this price negates the triangle setup. Historical win probability of 63.65% indicates better-than-even odds, though the moderate structure score of 10/15 suggests the pattern is not pristine. Volatility of 3.71% ATR provides room for the move within normal trading ranges.
Risk Factors
Earnings on August 10, 2026 represent acute risk within three days of this detection, with potential for significant price gapping if results disappoint or guidance disappoints. Mixed analyst sentiment—with both Buy and strategic-review calls—indicates uncertainty about fundamental direction. The stock's low structure score of 10/15 raises questions about triangle validity; weak prior patterns detected (double bottom with 24.0 score, bullish pennant with 27.0 score) suggest the stock has struggled to establish clean technical setups. Beta of 0.74 offers downside protection, but current positioning 14.79% below 52-week highs signals underlying weakness. Volume ratio of 0.93 shows below-average participation, reducing breakout credibility if the pattern does resolve.
How We Find and Score This Setup
We scan more than 6,000 NYSE and NASDAQ stocks every trading day and compare each detected pattern against a database of 370,000+ historical detections. Every setup is scored across three dimensions: Structure, Volume, and Breakout Readiness. Win probability is a calibrated estimate of how similar historical setups performed over the following 10 trading days. This is a swing trading tool built for multi-day holds. It is not built or tested for day trading.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CODI a good swing trade?
CODI scored 77 out of 98 on our symmetrical triangle scan, with a 64% historical win probability over the standard 10 trading day hold. Good setup based on our systematic scoring.
What is the entry, target, and stop loss for this setup?
The setup's reference price is $10.77, with a conservative target of $11.26 and a stop loss at $10.12.
What would invalidate this symmetrical triangle setup?
A close below the stop loss at $10.12 would invalidate the setup and suggest the pattern has failed.
How is the win probability calculated?
Win probability is a calibrated estimate of how similar historical symmetrical triangle setups performed over the following 10 trading days, drawn from a database of 370,000+ historical pattern detections across 6,000+ NYSE and NASDAQ stocks.
Market & Sector Regime
Market
Bullish 0.93
-1.0 0 +1.0
Consumer Discretionary Sector
Bullish 0.63
-1.0 0 +1.0
Other Patterns Detected Today
Double Bottom
38 days in pattern
Weak 24.0
Bullish Pennant
29 days in pattern
Moderate 27.0
Overall Score
34 of 40
Strong
Pattern Quality
18 of 20
Exceptional
Setup
11 of 20
Fair
R/R
14 of 18
Good
Context
Pattern Quality Score
10 of 15
Moderate
Structure
13 of 13
Exceptional
Breakout
11 of 12
Exceptional
Volume
Recent Performance
+7.2%
1W
+8.7%
2W
+6.8%
1M
-7.3%
3M
Momentum & Trend
RSI (14)
56.1
Neutral
MACD Histogram
+0.10
Bullish
Bollinger Band Position
87.1%
Upper Zone
Volatility & Risk
20-Day Volatility
0.45
High
ATR %
3.7%
Medium
Beta
0.74
Below Mkt
Volume Analysis
Volume Ratio
0.93x
Average
20-Day Avg Vol
615K
shares / day
Current Volume
569K
shares traded
Price Levels
52W High
$12.64
Target
$11.26
Current
$10.77
Stop Loss
$10.12
Resistance
$9.98
Support
$9.94
52W Low
$4.58
Disclaimer: This analysis is algorithmically generated for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past pattern performance does not guarantee future results. Win probabilities are based on historical data across 370,000+ observations. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor. AI-assisted contextual analysis by Claude (Anthropic). Indicators reflect values at time of detection.