Swing Trading Plan
Holding Period
3-9 trading days
Expected figures are probability-weighted from our historical pattern database; Trade R:R is measured from the entry, target and stop levels.
Current Setup
JBL formed a three white soldiers pattern as of October 13, 2026, the latest in a sequence following a double bottom established July 7 with 68 days of pattern development. The setup occupies middle-to-upper range, trading at $312.01 with key support at $284.39 and resistance at $331.58. Structure score of 15.0/15 reflects clean candlestick progression; volume score of 12.0/12 indicates strong accumulation; breakout score of 11.82/13 shows minor weakness. Overall score of 74.82/98 and 60.91% win probability suggest moderate pattern quality. The setup sits 64.56% above 52-week lows but 27.26% below highs, indicating recovery mode within an elevated-volatility, high-beta (1.63) context.
Stock Context
Jabil reported fourth quarter and full year results on 30 September 2026, alongside fresh guidance for Q1 and fiscal 2027. JPMorgan raised its price target to $430 from $425 on October 1, and Stifel reiterated a Buy rating and $460 price target following a tour of the company's Guadalajara manufacturing campus. Jabil ended fiscal 2026 with $36 billion in total revenue, and management expects $44.5 billion in fiscal 2027, though BofA believes this estimate is conservative. Multiple analyst notes cite AI infrastructure demand fueling strong Q4 results and recommending the stock as AI data center exposure rebounds. The three white soldiers forms amid bullish momentum post-earnings, with market regime at 0.64 and sector at 0.52.
What to Expect
A confirmed breakout above the $331.58 resistance target would project toward the conservative measured move of $327.42, with potential to extend higher given bullish regime conditions. Historical three white soldiers patterns suggest 60.91% success probability. Volume confirmation is critical—the current volume ratio of 0.69 sits below the 20-day average of 1.61M shares, so expansion above 1.2M shares on breakout would strengthen conviction. Invalidation occurs decisively below $284.39 support, representing approximately 8.9% downside from current levels. ATR of 13.8 ($4.42%) signals intraday volatility typical of this stock's 1.63 beta profile.
Risk Factors
Insider activity shows significant net selling of $75.4 million over the past 12 months, with $75.5 million in insider sales versus $0.1 million in purchases, raising confidence concerns from management. The stock trades 22.9% above GF Value estimate of $243.67, indicating overvaluation. JBL's P/E ratio of 30.6x significantly exceeds its 5-year median of 14.4x, reflecting elevated valuation risk if growth expectations slip. Tariff policy shifts and segment weakness in EV could disrupt the earnings narrative. Beta of 1.63 combined with 20-day volatility of 46.36% means downside acceleration risk is material. Recent performance shows -1.91% over one month and -4.53% over three months despite earnings beat, indicating potential fatigue or profit-taking.
How We Find and Score This Setup
We scan more than 6,000 NYSE and NASDAQ stocks every trading day and compare each detected pattern against a database of 370,000+ historical detections. Every setup is scored across three dimensions: Structure, Volume, and Breakout Readiness. Win probability is a calibrated estimate of how similar historical setups performed over the following 10 trading days. This is a swing trading tool built for multi-day holds. It is not built or tested for day trading.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is JBL a good swing trade?
JBL scored 75 out of 98 on our three white soldiers scan, with a 61% historical win probability over a 3-9 trading days hold. Good setup based on our systematic scoring.
What is the entry, target, and stop loss for this setup?
The setup's reference price is $312.01, with a conservative target of $327.42 and a stop loss at $277.88.
What would invalidate this three white soldiers setup?
A close below the stop loss at $277.88 would invalidate the setup and suggest the pattern has failed.
How is the win probability calculated?
Win probability is a calibrated estimate of how similar historical three white soldiers setups performed over the following 10 trading days, drawn from a database of 370,000+ historical pattern detections across 6,000+ NYSE and NASDAQ stocks.
Market & Sector Regime
Market
Bullish
0.64
-1.0
0
+1.0
Technology Sector
Bullish
0.52
-1.0
0
+1.0
Other Patterns Detected Today
Double Bottom
68 days in pattern
Moderate
26.5