Swing Trading Plan
Holding Period
2-7 trading days
Expected figures are probability-weighted from our historical pattern database; Trade R:R is measured from the entry, target and stop levels.
Current Setup
MIR is forming a double bottom pattern with solid technical structure (14.06/15 structure score). The stock is trading at $16.25, positioned between key support at $14.04 (52-week low) and resistance at $17.65. The pattern shows adequate volume confirmation (12.0/12 volume score), though breakout quality is moderate (8.67/13). Volume is running 94% of 20-day average. RSI at 55.57 indicates neutral momentum—neither overbought nor oversold. MACD histogram positive at 0.1394 suggests early bullish momentum. The 62.87% win probability indicates historical precedent for this pattern structure in similar conditions.
Stock Context
Q2 2026 revenue rose to $266.8M with Adjusted EBITDA of $65.3M, stronger orders and cash flow, while Mirion reaffirmed 2026 revenue, EBITDA, cash flow and EPS guidance. Second quarter 2026 revenue was up 19.7% from $222.9 million a year earlier, driven by growth in both product and service revenues. Management highlighted margin expansion across both operating segments, increased adjusted free cash flow, and continued orders and backlog growth, including several large opportunity orders captured in Q2. However, Goldman Sachs lowered its price target to $20 from $23 on September 30, 2026, signaling some analyst caution despite operational strength. The stock's recent recovery from a $14.40 52-week low (August 28) reflects renewed confidence in nuclear-driven fundamentals.
What to Expect
A successful breakout above $17.65 resistance would target $17.02 conservatively, with the pattern suggesting potential for higher extension depending on volume follow-through. The invalidation level sits at key support of $14.04—failure to hold this level would negate the double bottom setup. Volume confirmation is critical: breakout confirmation typically requires volume at or above the 20-day average of 4.3M shares. At 62.87% win probability, historical data supports this pattern type succeeding roughly two-thirds of the time. Beta of 1.7 indicates MIR will amplify moves in both directions during breakout execution.
Risk Factors
Elevated volatility (20-day at 53.92%) and high beta (1.7) create whipsaw risk. The stock has shown significant volatility with a 52-week range of $14.04 to $30.28, reflecting investor uncertainty despite fundamentals. Analyst sentiment is mixed—multiple price target reductions in September (Goldman, JPMorgan, Morgan Stanley) alongside Buy initiations (Jefferies, Northland) suggest disagreement on valuation. The stock is currently down 46.33% from its 52-week high of $30.28, raising questions about whether Q2 strength justifies higher multiples. No imminent catalysts identified—next quarterly earnings would be Q3 (likely late October). Macro industrial sector is neutral (regime score -0.12), providing no tailwind.
How We Find and Score This Setup
We scan more than 6,000 NYSE and NASDAQ stocks every trading day and compare each detected pattern against a database of 370,000+ historical detections. Every setup is scored across three dimensions: Structure, Volume, and Breakout Readiness. Win probability is a calibrated estimate of how similar historical setups performed over the following 10 trading days. This is a swing trading tool built for multi-day holds. It is not built or tested for day trading.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is MIR a good swing trade?
MIR scored 67 out of 98 on our double bottom scan, with a 63% historical win probability over a 2-7 trading days hold. Moderate setup based on our systematic scoring.
What is the entry, target, and stop loss for this setup?
The setup's reference price is $16.25, with a conservative target of $17.02 and a stop loss at $14.27.
What would invalidate this double bottom setup?
A close below the stop loss at $14.27 would invalidate the setup and suggest the pattern has failed.
How is the win probability calculated?
Win probability is a calibrated estimate of how similar historical double bottom setups performed over the following 10 trading days, drawn from a database of 370,000+ historical pattern detections across 6,000+ NYSE and NASDAQ stocks.