Swing Trading Plan
Holding Period
2-7 trading days
Expected figures are probability-weighted from our historical pattern database; Trade R:R is measured from the entry, target and stop levels.
Current Setup
PXED is forming a rounding bottom pattern with current price at $31.50, positioned 34.85% above the 52-week low of $23.36 (key support) and 15.8% below resistance at $37.89. Structure score of 12.5/15 and breakout score of 10.4/13 indicate a modestly formed base with developing upside momentum. Volume metrics are neutral (volume ratio 0.91, relative volume 0.92), with breakout score suggesting the pattern has consolidated but still needs confirmation. RSI at 59.02 shows neutral positioning without overbought conditions, while the 62.52% win probability indicates better-than-random odds if the pattern resolves upward.
Stock Context
PXED released Q2 2026 earnings on April 7, 2026, coinciding exactly with pattern detection. Consensus estimates called for $220.22 million in revenue and $0.24 EPS for Q2, yet that represents earnings down from $1.69 per share in the year-ago period—a significant earnings decline. Full-year 2026 earnings estimates have declined from $4.07 to $3.09 per share over the past 90 days, signaling negative estimate revisions. However, the average analyst target price is $45.13 with 43.94% upside from current price, and consensus recommendation from 8 brokerage firms is 'Outperform' (rating 2.0). Q1 net revenue rose 2.9% year-over-year to $262 million with 4.1% enrollment growth to 85,600 students. The Real Estate sector shows bullish regime with 0.59 regime score, providing favorable macro backdrop for the pattern setup.
What to Expect
A successful breakout above the $37.89 resistance level would define the rounding bottom completion. The conservative target sits at $33.60, offering 6.7% upside from current price—a modest but measurable measured move. Pattern invalidation occurs on a breakdown through $23.36 (key support), which would represent a 25.9% downside. The 62.52% win probability suggests this is not a high-conviction setup, but historical rounding bottom reversals often show sustained upside as they represent exhaustion of selling pressure. Volume confirmation will be critical: a breakout above resistance should accompany above-average volume (>90,000 shares) to validate the move.
Risk Factors
Q2 earnings expected at $0.34 per share are sharply lower than prior-year $1.69, creating potential for negative surprise if actual results disappoint consensus. In Q1, actual earnings of $0.40 missed expectations of $1.11 by 63.96%, establishing a history of significant earnings misses that could repeat. A prior cybersecurity incident resulted in $4.5 million Q1 costs with potential for additional expenses despite insurance coverage, introducing operational risk. Forward earnings estimates have declined materially quarter-over-quarter, suggesting negative momentum in analyst confidence. ATR at 1.6 (5.08% of price) and volatility at 0.506 indicate moderate price swings around this consolidation, which could trigger the support level (23.36) on adverse earnings reaction. The pattern overall score of 69.9/98 remains below 75, signaling elevated risk relative to reward in this setup.
Sources:
Phoenix Education Partners Inc (PXED) Q2 2026: Everything You Need To Know Ahead Of Earnings
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Phoenix Education Q2 2026 call set for April 7 | PXED Stock News
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Phoenix Education Partners, Inc. (PXED) Stock Price, News, Quote & History - Yahoo Finance
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Phoenix Education Partners Q1 Earnings Call Highlights
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Latest PXED News - Phoenix Education Partners Schedules Second...
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Phoenix Education Partners’ (PXED) Outperform Rating Reiterated at Barrington Research - Daily Political
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Phoenix Education (PXED) Stock Price, Quote, News & History | Benzinga
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Is Phoenix Education Partners (PXED) Attractive After Recent Share Price Pullback?
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Phoenix Education Partners Schedules Second Quarter 2026 Earnings Conference Call | Press Releases | mycarrollcountynews.com
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Phoenix Education Partners Inc (PXED) Stock Price, Trades & News | GuruFocus
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Phoenix Education Partners, Inc. (PXED) Stock Price, News, Quote & History - Yahoo Finance
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Phoenix Education Partners Gears Up For Q2 Print; Here Are The Recent Forecast Changes From Wall Street's - Benzinga
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Phoenix Education Partners Inc (PXED) Q2 2026: Everything You Need To Know Ahead Of Earnings
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Phoenix Education Partners (PXED) Stock Price & Overview
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PXED - Phoenix Education Partners Inc Stock Price and Quote
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PXED - Phoenix Education Partners Inc. Latest Stock News ...
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Phoenix Education Partners, Inc. Common Stock (PXED) Earnings Report Dates & Earnings Forecasts | Nasdaq
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Phoenix Education (PXED) Stock Price, Quote, News & History | Benzinga
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Phoenix Education Partners Inc (PXED) Stock Price, Trades & News | GuruFocus
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Is Phoenix Education Partners (PXED) Attractive After Recent Share Price Pullback?
How We Find and Score This Setup
We scan more than 6,000 NYSE and NASDAQ stocks every trading day and compare each detected pattern against a database of 370,000+ historical detections. Every setup is scored across three dimensions: Structure, Volume, and Breakout Readiness. Win probability is a calibrated estimate of how similar historical setups performed over the following 10 trading days. This is a swing trading tool built for multi-day holds. It is not built or tested for day trading.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PXED a good swing trade?
PXED scored 70 out of 98 on our rounding bottom scan, with a 63% historical win probability over a 2-7 trading days hold. Good setup based on our systematic scoring.
What is the entry, target, and stop loss for this setup?
The setup's reference price is $31.50, with a conservative target of $33.60 and a stop loss at $28.00.
What would invalidate this rounding bottom setup?
A close below the stop loss at $28.00 would invalidate the setup and suggest the pattern has failed.
How is the win probability calculated?
Win probability is a calibrated estimate of how similar historical rounding bottom setups performed over the following 10 trading days, drawn from a database of 370,000+ historical pattern detections across 6,000+ NYSE and NASDAQ stocks.