Swing Trading Plan
Holding Period
2-7 trading days
Expected figures are probability-weighted from our historical pattern database; Trade R:R is measured from the entry, target and stop levels.
Current Setup
TSS Inc. is a data center services company that integrates AI and other high-performance computing infrastructure and software. The rounding bottom pattern at $12.40 shows strong structure (15.0/15) reflecting a 55-day post-collapse recovery forming since February 23. The pattern demonstrates excellent technical quality with breakout score 11.7/13 and volume score 12.0/12. Key support anchors at $6.87 while resistance sits at $28.96—current price $12.40 sits 61% below the 52-week high yet 120% above the 52-week low. The overall pattern score of 73.7/98 with 64.2% win probability reflects a moderately healthy setup in a bearish market regime (-0.49 score) and bearish sector (-0.48 score).
Stock Context
TSS reported full-year 2025 revenue of $245.7 million, up 66%, and diluted EPS of $0.56, up from $0.24, with Q4 revenue of $60.9 million up 22% and systems integration revenue rising 79% year-over-year. The company amended a long-term AI rack integration agreement and provided 2026 guidance of $20–$22M Adjusted EBITDA. The upcoming earnings date for TSS Inc is Mar 26, 2026. The stock rallied 59% over one month and 70% over three months, driven by strong AI infrastructure demand and Q4 earnings surprise on March 11. TSS's analyst rating consensus is a Moderate Buy based on ratings of 1 Wall Street analyst, with price target of $20.50. However, on March 16, 2026, Kieran Brennan, Senior Vice President at TSS Inc, executed a sale of 12,000 shares of the company. Pattern formed post-earnings bounce amid AI infrastructure tailwinds.
What to Expect
A successful rounding bottom breakout above $28.96 resistance would target $13.23 (conservative measured move), though the pattern structure suggests potential to test higher resistance. Historical win probability of 64.2% indicates better-than-random odds. Volume confirmation needed at breakout—current daily volume of 2.06M shares (0.98x average) is near baseline. The invalidation level sits at $6.87 key support; a close below this level would nullify the setup and signal structural failure of the recovery pattern. Breakout volume should exceed the 20-day average of 2.11M shares to confirm sustained upside conviction.
Risk Factors
High beta of 2.07 amplifies downside moves in bearish market regime. RSI at 63.55 approaches overbought territory (>70), suggesting limited room for further upside before pullback likely. The report notes depot ramping at the Georgetown facility and supply-chain risks that could affect rack deliveries. Volume divergence noted: 2-week gain of 24.12% accompanied by volume at 0.98x average suggests weakening participation. Insider selling by SVP on March 16 near recent highs raises concern about conviction. Earnings call on March 26 (just 2 days after pattern detection) introduces catalyst risk—guidance misses or forward commentary could trigger sharp reversal. Consumer Discretionary sector headwinds persist with -0.48 regime score. Float expansion from recent secondary offering ($58.7M in Aug 2025) dilutes equity and may cap upside.
Sources:
TSS Inc. to Release Earnings with Eyes on AI Integration
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TSSI: TSS Inc Latest Stock Price, Analysis, News and Trading Ideas
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Tss Stock Price Forecast. Should You Buy TSSI?
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TSSI: TSS Inc - Stock Price, Quote and News - CNBC
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Home - TSS, Inc.
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TSS Inc. Profitability Insights Amid Upcoming Results
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TSSI - Tss Inc Del Latest Stock News & Market Updates
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Insider Sell: Kieran Brennan Sells 12,000 Shares of TSS Inc (TSSI)
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TSS, Inc. Stock Price: Quote, Forecast, Splits & News (TSSI)
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TSS Releases 2026 HPC and Data Center Trends Guide | TSSI Stock News
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TSS, Inc. (TSSI) Analyst Ratings, Estimates & Forecasts - Yahoo Finance
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TSS, Inc. Common Stock (TSSI) Analyst Reports & Ratings | Nasdaq
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TSS, Inc. Stock Price: Quote, Forecast, Splits & News (TSSI)
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TSS, Inc. (TSSI) Stock Price & Overview
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TSS (TSSI) Stock Forecast, Price Targets and Analysts Predictions - TipRanks.com
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TSSI - TSS, Inc. (NasdaqCM) - Share Price and News
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TSS (TSSI) Stock Price, News & Analysis $TSSI
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TSSI Stock | TSS Price, Quote, News & Analysis - TipRanks.com
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__symbol__ Stock Quote Price and Forecast | CNN
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TSS Inc (TSSI)
How We Find and Score This Setup
We scan more than 6,000 NYSE and NASDAQ stocks every trading day and compare each detected pattern against a database of 370,000+ historical detections. Every setup is scored across three dimensions: Structure, Volume, and Breakout Readiness. Win probability is a calibrated estimate of how similar historical setups performed over the following 10 trading days. This is a swing trading tool built for multi-day holds. It is not built or tested for day trading.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is TSSI a good swing trade?
TSSI scored 74 out of 98 on our rounding bottom scan, with a 64% historical win probability over a 2-7 trading days hold. Good setup based on our systematic scoring.
What is the entry, target, and stop loss for this setup?
The setup's reference price is $12.40, with a conservative target of $13.23 and a stop loss at $11.27.
What would invalidate this rounding bottom setup?
A close below the stop loss at $11.27 would invalidate the setup and suggest the pattern has failed.
How is the win probability calculated?
Win probability is a calibrated estimate of how similar historical rounding bottom setups performed over the following 10 trading days, drawn from a database of 370,000+ historical pattern detections across 6,000+ NYSE and NASDAQ stocks.
Market & Sector Regime
Market
Bearish
-0.49
-1.0
0
+1.0
Consumer Discretionary Sector
Bearish
-0.48
-1.0
0
+1.0
Other Patterns Detected Today
Bull Flag
20 days in pattern
Good
31.4
Post Collapse Recovery
55 days in pattern
Moderate
27.0